Business

Why the markets will grow in 2019

Investors don't need to pay attention to the government shutdown, Brexit or the ongoing trade war with China.

Posted Updated

By
Andrew Greiner
(CNN) — Investors don't need to pay attention to the government shutdown, Brexit or the ongoing trade war with China.

Just two things matter to the market in 2019: the Fed and company earnings.

"I think three months from now investors will be sitting back and won't remember the shutdown," co-chief investment strategist for PNC Financial Jeff Mills told Allison Kosik on CNN Business' "Markets Now" live show on Wednesday.

Mills told Kosik the markets already have priced in much of the pain associated with global trade tensions when the Dow and S&P experienced deep declines in December.

"I think what happened at the end of the year last year is that the market started to price in an earnings recession this year," Mills said. "We think growth is more likely in 2019."

For the markets to sustain their January 2019 rally, company earnings will need to remain stable, Mills said, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will need to stick with a more dovish monetary policy and not raise rates aggressively.

Mills believes earnings will get a boost. He predicted investors will be surprised by a quick end to a trade war between China and the United States in the early part of the year. President Donald Trump will be forced by economic conditions to call an end to his standoff in order to protect his reelection chances, Mills said.

"Xi will be similarly motivated" to help the Chinese economy, Mills said.

Next week Darius Dale, senior global macro analyst with Hedgeye Risk Management, will join CNN Business for "Markets Now."

The show streams live from the New York Stock Exchange every Wednesday at 12:45 p.m. ET. Hosted by CNN's business correspondents, the 15-minute program features incisive commentary from experts.

You can watch "Markets Now" at CNN.com/MarketsNow from your desk, phone or tablet. If you can't catch the show live, check out highlights online and through the Markets Now newsletter, delivered to your inbox every afternoon.

Copyright 2024 by Cable News Network, Inc., a Time Warner Company. All rights reserved.