Published: 2007-05-19 11:48:06
Updated: 2007-05-19 11:48:06
Posted May 19, 2007 11:48 a.m. EDT
By Phyllis Ihrie
MIKE MOSS SAYS: Phyllis, Hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th each year. However, a look at hurricane strike probabilities by month for the southeastern U.S. and Carribbean Basin shows that southern Alabama has its highest likelhood of hurricane activity in September, with notably lower probabilities for earlier and later months. Note that even in September, the likelihood of a storm in a given month is only about 5-6%. In August, the probability is about 3% and the other months feature probabilities under 2%. So, statistically, any fairly short visit has a very small chance of being impacted by a hurricane, but the highest likelihoods are in those two months. Do note, however, that these are climatological values and that in any given year, a hurricane could strike Alabama in any month from about May to November, and that there is no way to forecast specific strikes of that sort more than a few days in advance.