Small business money to clear Congress on Thursday but question of who gets aid looms over program

Yet that same program is so desperately needed -- and oversubscribed -- that it ran out of money the first time in less than two weeks.

Bottom line: There is a tension with this program akin to what most rescue programs face -- how do you kick as much money out the door as possible, as quickly as possible, while ensuring only the small businesses that truly need the money, get it? The dozens of public companies, some of which appeared to have clear pathways to more traditional financing, who received loans in the first tranche make clear the balance between those two sides wasn't right the first time around. Officials, through public shaming and a new set of guidelines, will attempt to shift that starting Thursday.

The changes to the program

There weren't many. Well, there weren't any in terms of how the program is constructed. But lawmakers did include a new set aside of $60 billion that is designed to get money to smaller lenders, lenders with connections to minority owned small businesses or those with limited or no bank relationships. The inclusion of Community Development Financial Institutions, which traditionally aren't SBA lenders, in this set aside is specifically designed to help minority and underbanked small businesses.

The numbers

Treasury and the Small Business Administration have made a big point of the fact 74% of the loans that were approved in the first tranche were for $150,000 or less -- and that's no small thing given that made up 1.2 million loans. But flip the data a bit and you get a better sense of the actual distribution of the money.

According to the SBA's data, roughly 45% of the actual money went toward loans for more than $1 million. In total, $152.4 billion of the first tranche of funds went toward loans of more than $1 million.

The outstanding issue

The Small Business Administration is still working through exactly how to separate out that $60 billion it guaranteed to smaller lenders, according to industry sources.

Those sources say that if there is a separate portal, that could force some banks that have been entering application information waiting for the program to get flush with cash again, to start over. And, it could create hiccups once again for lenders who have to use another portal.

The money was intended to make it easier for smaller lenders to get money to small businesses. But the specifics of how the set-aside fund will work is still being sorted out.

What else to keep an eye on

The Treasury Department will release new guidelines for participants in the program designed to, in the words of one official, "disincentivize" larger public companies who may qualify for the program from applying. It's still unclear exactly what this will look like, but it won't technically change any of the program's statutory eligibility guidelines. What it will do, the official said, is make clear if a company can obtain financing elsewhere, they shouldn't consider themselves eligible for the program.

Putting this on the radar

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's remarks about funding for state and local governments yesterday underscored just how deep the policy divide is between some congressional Republicans and their Democratic colleagues. But McConnell is also in a different place than some his own members.

CNN's Cristina Alesci, who is following this closely, sends this along as well: Earlier in the day, state budget officers from both blue and red states, wrote a pointed letter to Trump and Congress, pleading for federal aid.

"Given the sudden, severe, and unprecedented nature of this crisis and its economic impacts ... states will still be forced to cut essential services in order to balance their budgets," wrote the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO) in the letter.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, a Democrat who has been seeking federal aid for weeks now, called McConnell's statement "political repugnant."

McConnell's statement backs up CNN's reporting earlier this week: that Republicans are hesitant to move quickly on funding state relief.

The other rescue program

One of the toughest pieces of the stimulus package to negotiate was the Main Street Lending Program. It was that $600 billion program that was run out of the Federal Reserve aimed at helping medium to large businesses. This is, without question, a central component of the full rescue package, and yet it hasn't launched yet.

Somewhat stunningly, according to one congressional aide, it could still take two or more weeks to launch.

There is growing angst in industry and on Capitol Hill that this program is taking more time than is desirable to get off the ground. But, there are a few reasons for that. For one, this is a massive program, and remember what happened with the Paycheck Protection Program? The rush to get it launched led to some early glitches. The Fed wants to avoid any early fumbles, and by nature the Fed tends to be very deliberate and conservative about decisions they make in how to structure this program.

Where things currently stand

Guidance in early April made it clear that while the Fed will take on 95% of the risk, lenders will be on the hook for the other 5%. That, according to one congressional aide familiar with the program, could be problematic for lenders who aren't interested in taking on more risk right now.

Remember, during the Payment Protection Program, many banks were worried about approving loan applications early on. Some banks sat on the sidelines until they had clearer guidance from Treasury. Those were for loans that were 100% government guaranteed. Now, you are talking about far larger loans that banks will have a share of the risk in. And, everything about this program is going to be scrutinized because of the Congressional Oversight Commission -- that five-person panel -- that has broad jurisdiction to scrutinize the program in addition to the other oversight panels.

As the program is written, expect it to be a fairly narrow channel for borrowers that need additional liquidity to get them through the next 12 months. But given that banks are going to have to take on risk here, borrowers are likely going to have to demonstrate pretty solid balance sheets prior to the pandemic to be eligible for the money.