Entertainment
Oscars 2023: Who will win, who should win, and missed nominations
The nominations for the 2023 Academy Awards were announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences on January 24. The winners will be announced during the Oscars telecast on Sunday, March 12. Here is our take on which movies and stars will win and which movies and stars were snubbed.
Posted — UpdatedBy Joel Bryant, WRAL.com contributor
The nominations for the 2023 Academy Awards were announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences on January 24. The winners will be announced during the Oscars telecast on Sunday, March 12.
- How (and where) to watch Oscar-nominated films online
Here is my take on which movies and stars will win from the 18 biggest categories (and which movies and stars were snubbed from nominations).
Best Picture
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Malte Grunert, Producer)
- Avatar: The Way of Water (James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers)
- The Banshees of Inisherin (Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers)
- Elvis (Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, Producers)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers)
- The Fabelmans (Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, Producers)
- Tár (Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, Producers)
- Top Gun: Maverick (Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison and Jerry Bruckheimer, Producers)
- Triangle of Sadness (Erik Hemmendorff and Philippe Bober, Producers)
- Women Talking (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, Producers)
Will win: Everything Everywhere All At Once
Should win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should have been nominated: The Woman King over Triangle of Sadness
Actor in a Leading Role
- Austin Butler, Elvis
- Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Brendan Fraser, The Whale
- Paul Mescal, Aftersun
- Bill Nighy, Living
Will win: Brendan Fraser
Should win: Austin Butler
Should have been nominated: Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick over Paul Mescal
Actor in a Supporting Role
- Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
- Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
- Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Ke Huy Quan
Should win: Ke Huy Quan
Should have been nominated: They got it right
Actress in a Leading Role
- Cate Blanchett, Tár
- Ana de Armas, Blonde
- Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
- Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
- Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Cate Blanchett
Should win: Michelle Yeoh
Should have been nominated: Viola Davis, The Woman King over Ana de Armas
Actress in a Supporting Role
- Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Hong Chau, The Whale
- Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Will win: Angela Bassett
Should win: Angela Bassett
Should have been nominated: Janelle Monáe, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery over Hong Chau
Animated Feature Film
- Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley)
- Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey)
- Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Joel Crawford and Mark Swift)
- The Sea Beast (Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger)
- Turning Red (Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins)
Will win: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Should win: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Should have been nominated: They got it right
Cinematography
- All Quiet on the Western Front (James Friend)
- Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Darius Khondji)
- Elvis (Mandy Walker)
- Empire of Light (Roger Deakins)
- Tár (Florian Hoffmeister)
Will win: Empire of Light
Should win: Tár
Should have been nominated: Claudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick over Darius Khondji
Costume Design
- Babylon (Mary Zophres)
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Ruth Carter)
- Elvis (Catherine Martin)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Shirley Kurata)
- Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Jenny Beavan)
Will win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Should win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Should have been nominated: Arianne Phillips, Don't Worry Darling over Shirley Kurata
Directing
- The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert)
- The Fabelmans (Steven Spielberg)
- Tár (Todd Field)
- Triangle of Sadness (Ruben Östlund)
Will win: Steven Spielberg
Should win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
Should have been nominated: Gina Prince-Bythewood, The Woman King and James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water over Martin McDonagh and Ruben Östlund
Documentary Feature Film
- All That Breathes (Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer)
- All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov)
- Fire of Love (Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman)
- A House Made of Splinters (Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström)
- Navalny (Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris)
No predictions.
Documentary Short Film
- The Elephant Whisperers (Kartiki Gonsalves and Guneet Monga)
- Haulout (Evgenia Arbugaeva and Maxim Arbugaev)
- How Do You Measure a Year? (Jay Rosenblatt)
- The Martha Mitchell Effect (Anne Alvergue and Beth Levison)
- Stranger at the Gate (Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones)
No predictions.
Film Editing
- The Banshees of Inisherin (Mikkel E.G. Nielsen)
- Elvis (Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Paul Rogers)
- Tár (Monika Willi)
- Top Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
Will win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should have been nominated: They got it right
International Feature Film
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
- Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
- Close (Belgium)
- EO (Poland)
- The Quiet Girl (Ireland)
No predictions.
Makeup and Hairstyling
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová)
- The Batman (Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine)
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Camille Friend and Joel Harlow)
- Elvis (Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti)
- The Whale (Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley)
Will win: The Whale
Should win: Elvis
Should have been nominated: Alexandra Anger and Evi Zafiropoulou, Crimes of the Future over Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
Music (Original Score)
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Volker Bertelmann)
- Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
- The Banshees of Inisherin (Carter Burwell)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Son Lux)
- The Fabelmans (John Williams)
Will win: The Fabelmans
Should win: The Banshees of Inisherin
Should have been nominated: Tom Holkenborg, Three Thousand Years of Longing and Simon Franglen, Avatar: The Way of Water over Volker Bertelmann and Justin Hurwitz
Music (Original Song)
- "Applause" from Tell It like a Woman (Music and Lyric by Diane Warren)
- "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick (Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop)
- "Lift Me Up" from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson; Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler)
- "Naatu Naatu" from RRR (Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose)
- "This Is A Life" from Everything Everywhere All at Once (Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski; Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne)
Will win: Naatu Naatu
Should win: Lift Me Up
Should have been nominated: They got it right
Production Design
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper)
- Avatar: The Way of Water (Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole)
- Babylon (Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino)
- Elvis (Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn)
- The Fabelmans (Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara)
Will win: Babylon
Should win: The Fabelmans
Should have been nominated: Hannah Beachler (production designer), Lisa K. Sessions (set decorator), Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Short Film (Animated)
- The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (Charlie Mackesy and Matthew Freud)
- The Flying Sailor (Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby)
- Ice Merchants (João Gonzalez and Bruno Caetano)
- My Year of Dicks (Sara Gunnarsdóttir and Pamela Ribon)
- An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It (Lachlan Pendragon)
No predictions.
Short Film (Live Action)
- An Irish Goodbye (Tom Berkeley and Ross White)
- Ivalu (Anders Walter and Rebecca Pruzan)
- Le Pupille (Alice Rohrwacher and Alfonso Cuarón)
- Night Ride (Eirik Tveiten and Gaute Lid Larssen)
- The Red Suitcase (Cyrus Neshvad)
No predictions.
Sound
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Viktor Prášil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel and Stefan Korte)
- Avatar: The Way of Water (Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges)
- The Batman (Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson)
- Elvis (David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller)
- Top Gun: Maverick (Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor)
Will win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should have been nominated: They got it right
Visual Effects
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar)
- Avatar: The Way of Water (Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett)
- The Batman (Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy)
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick)
- Top Gun: Maverick (Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher)
Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Should have been nominated: They got it right
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Screenplay - Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
- Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Written by Rian Johnson)
- Living (Written by Kazuo Ishiguro)
- Top Gun: Maverick (Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks)
- Women Talking (Screenplay by Sarah Polley)
Will win: Women Talking
Should win: Top Gun: Maverick
Should have been nominated: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Screenplay by Guillermo del Toro and Patrick McHale) over Kazuo Ishiguro
Writing (Original Screenplay)
- The Banshees of Inisherin (Written by Martin McDonagh)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
- The Fabelmans (Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner)
- Tár (Written by Todd Field)
- Triangle of Sadness (Written by Ruben Östlund)
Will win: The Banshees of Inisherin
Should win: The Banshees of Inisherin
Should have been nominated: The Woman King (Written by Dana Stevens) over Ruben Östlund
Joel's Top 10 Movies of 2022
10. The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent
This movie oozes with originality. Essentially, Nic Cage is playing Nic Cage. And Nic Cage has some lessons to learn about how he chooses to spend his time. It's surprisngly heartfelt, and we get a very different and awesome performance from Pedro Pascal as Nic Cage's biggest fan.
9. Barbarian
This horror movie - released under Disney's 20th Century Studios - has one of the most unique shifts in a screenplay that you'll find. The way writer/director Zach Creggers structures this film is completely out of left field. As a result, I found it to be one of the most unpredictable and witty horror movies in recent years.
8. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
As not a big fan of the original Puss in Boots spinoff, I had very minimal expectations for this one. They were exceeded greatly. The hook and character arc of the movie feels so simple yet so genius since it hasn't been done on this scale before: the pompous Puss in Boots is down to his ninth life and needs to learn to accept his own mortality.
7. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
I'll admit this is not a perfect movie. However, the obstacles that writer/director Ryan Coogler had to overcome to put this on the screen cannot be overstated. Wakanda Forever is able to address the real-life shocking death of Chadwick Boseman and weave it throughout the story in a way that I can't think of how to improve. This is also the best set of performances that we've seen from a Marvel movie, notably from Oscar frontrunner Angela Bassett.
6. The Banshees of Inisherin
This is another simple-yet-genius concept. The Banshees of Inisherin tells the story of adult friends who suddenly are not friends anymore. Just like all of writer/director Martin McDonagh's work, it's darkly funny because its unnervingly true. As we come to expect from McDonagh, the dialogue is sharp and colorful. I just wish the ending was a little more clear, but maybe that's the point.
5. Three Thousand Years of Longing
From legendary director George Miller, Three Thousand Years of Longing slipped through the cracks of 2022, likely due to level of strangeness it exudes. It is a movie that is small in focus and rather large in scope. Tilda Swinton plays a lonely professor and Idris Elba plays a Djinn (genie). Together, through their stories, they find what their purpose is in life. It has an incredible score by Tom Holkenborg a.k.a. Junkie XL, with a theme so beautiful that it sounds like it's always been in your life.
4. The Woman King
This is one of the better original action movies we've seen in awhile. Director Gina Prince-Bythewood and star Viola Davis are both at the top of their games for The Woman King, a fictional story based on the very real female warriors of the kingdom of Dahomey. The action is visceral and the story offers a lot to say about the value of life. This movie also has tremendous original music, spearheaded by Terence Blanchard.
3. Avatar: The Way of Water
James Cameron's Avatar: The Way of Water was more than worth the 13-year wait. Instead of rushing out a sequel to the biggest movie of all time, Cameron focussed on his family and other passions like exploring the ocean while slowly building out the story for a set of Avatar sequels. The Way of Water clearly reflects what Cameron has learned from his time away. After a shaky first act, the sequel settles into true beauty in terms of visual splendor and story. The final half hour is a swelling, emotional triumph. I wish there was a way for the Academy to recognize the types of digital performances that Zoe Saldaña, Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Kate Winslet, Britain Dalton and Stephen Lang give in this movie, because it is truly some of the best acting of the year.
2. Everything Everywhere All At Once
One of the most original movies of the year, Everything Everywhere All At Once uniquely tells the story of a first-generation immigrant mother facing a mid-life crisis. Played excellently by Michelle Yeoh, Evelyn Wang connects with other versions of herself — and her family members — throughout the mixed realities of the multiverse. The lesson of the movie — taught in an instant-classic performance by resurfaced child star Ke Huy Quan — lands as one of the biggest gutpunches you'll face.
1. Top Gun: Maverick
Top Gun: Maverick is so proficiently executed in every area that it's almost hard to truly comprehend its greatness. Tom Cruise's passion project oozes exactly that: care for the story, the characters and blockbuster-style filmmaking as a whole. The script by Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, and Christopher McQuarrie reaches the perfect point between comprehensive and tight. The editing and pacing of the film might the the best of any action movie every made. It features the best performance by Cruise, whose character of Pete "Maverick" Mitchell is the representation of the dying concept of the movie star. Thanks to great supporting roles from Miles Teller and Val Kilmer, Maverick learns one of life's greatest lessons: to let go of what you cannot control.
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