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Monday night could bring a surprise meteor shower

Research think debris from the 1995 breakup of a comet may have moved into position to create an outburst of activity during the normally quiet tau Herculid meteor shower.

Posted Updated
A Million Comet Pieces
By
Tony Rice
, NASA Ambassador

The tau Herculid meteor shower probably isn't one you have heard of. This is because it normally is a very minor one, or more accurately a variable, producing a handful of visible meteors at most, but usually much of nothing. But this year's peak on Monday May 30th overnight into the 31st could be different if researchers are right.

Researchers are pointing to the breakup of a comet in the mid-90s as creating the right conditions for a possible meteor outburst, or unusually active meteor shower.

Fragments of Comet 73/P  (NASA/HST)

The source is Comet 73P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 3 which disintegrated into several large chunks in late 1995. The break up has continued since then.

The Hubble Space Telescope imaged more fragments of the comet as it passed by on its 5.4 year trip around the Sun in 2006. A month later, the Spitzer Space Telescope observed more fragments forming their own sub-fragments.

This infrared image from NASA's Spitzer Space Telescope shows the broken Comet 73P/Schwassman-Wachmann 3 skimming along a trail of debris left during its multiple trips around the sun. The flame-like objects are the comet's fragments and their tails, while the dusty comet trail is the line bridging the fragments. 

Comet 73P /Schwassman-Wachmann 3 began to splinter apart in 1995 during one of its voyages around the sweltering sun. Since then, the comet has continued to disintegrate into dozens of fragments, at least 36 of which can be seen here. Astronomers believe the icy comet cracked due the thermal stress from the sun. 

The Spitzer image provides the best look yet at the trail of debris left in the comet's wake after its 1995 breakup. The observatory's infrared eyes were able to see the dusty comet bits and pieces, which are warmed by sunlight and glow at infrared wavelengths. This comet debris ranges in size from pebbles to large boulders. When Earth passes near this rocky trail every year, the comet rubble burns up in our atmosphere, lighting up the sky in meteor showers. In 2022, Earth is expected to cross close to the comet's trail, producing a noticeable meteor shower. 

Astronomers are studying the Spitzer image for clues to the comet's composition and how it fell apart. Like NASA's Deep Impact experiment, in which a probe smashed into comet Tempel 1, the cracked Comet 73P/Schwassman-Wachmann 3 provides a perfect laboratory for studying the pristine interior of a comet.

This image was taken from May 4 to May 6 by Spitzer's Multiband Imaging Photometer, using its 24-micron wavelength channel.

While smaller bits, about the size of a grain of sand get pushed behind the comet, into its tail, by the solar wind, large pieces, especially those ejected by the comet with sufficient force, tend to migrate ahead of the comet ultimately into the Earth's path. ]

Is a 1000 meteor per hour meteor storm likely? Probably not. Outburst predictions rarely pan out but with multiple researchers pointing to this year as promising one for the tau Herculids in papers in the Journal of the International Meteor Organization
The tau Herculid meteor shower peaks May 30th into the morning of the 31st (Rice/Stellarium)

When to look for meteors

The tau Herculids get their name from the location of the radiant, or point in the sky where the meteors appear to be coming from. Nearest the 19th (tau is the 19th letter in the Greek alphabet) brightest star in the constellation Hercules. So look high in the eastern sky after about 10 pm. The later you look, the higher the radiant point will be in the sky, minimizing the number of meteors hidden below the horizon.

Researchers point to 12:45 a.m. EDT on Tuesday morning, May 31, 2022 as the best time to look.

The best way to maximize the number of meteors you see is patience. Give eyes at least 15 minutes to adjust and look to the darkest part of the sky. The longer you look, the more likely you are to see something. With meteor showers normally peaking in the hours before sunrises, this one peaks at a far more convenient time making it worth a look before turning in for the night.

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