Hungary’s Democracy Is in Danger, EU Parliament Decides

European lawmakers voted by a wide margin on Wednesday to begin a punishment procedure against Hungary for potentially breaching democratic norms, a measure never previously initiated by the European Parliament.

The vote was only the first step toward potential sanctions. The leaders of the European Union’s 28 member states must ultimately decide if the government of Prime Minister Viktor Orban is at fault, and whether it should be punished.

But it was nevertheless a meaningful moment in contemporary European politics, because it showed Orban — for years sheltered by Europe’s center-right leaders, even as he undermined the rule of law in Hungary, criticized European institutions and became a hero of the far right — losing the support of most of his allies in the European mainstream.

The measure passed 448-197, narrowly meeting a two-thirds threshold needed to validate it, after a majority of Orban’s conservative alliance broke with him.

That alliance, the European People’s Party, whose members include the leaders of the European Parliament, European Commission and European Council, as well as Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, had avoided publicly criticizing Orban, despite rising external objections to his autocratic tendencies in Hungary and his shift toward more extreme positions on European identity, migration and integration.

That changed on Wednesday, when 115 members of the alliance voted against Orban’s government. Only 57 voted to support him, while 28 abstained. Manfred Weber, the alliance’s leader in the European Parliament, and Chancellor Sebastian Kurz of Austria, who leads another party in the alliance that has shifted right, both backed the measure.

The government of Hungary said the vote was not valid, because it did not reach the two-thirds threshold once abstentions were included.

Considered for much of his career a conventional center-right politician, Orban began to arouse criticism after returning to office in 2010 with an unexpectedly large majority that he used to stack the Hungarian constitutional court with loyalists, reshape the electoral system and install loyalists at the top of major state institutions.

Five years later, he emerged as a hero to the far right after calling for the legalization of the death penalty — banned by EU convention — and for an end to liberal democracy. His opposition to European migration policy and his call for a “cultural counterrevolution” in Europe put him in conflict with the European Union’s leadership.

But Orban’s own political alliance publicly stood by him, and might even have voted with him on Wednesday but for his increasingly provocative behavior since the start of the year.

This summer he has appeared more comfortable in the company of far-right figures such as Matteo Salvini, the new Italian interior minister, and Steve Bannon, President Donald Trump’s former chief strategist, than with his traditional allies in the center-right alliance.

The final straw came in a fractious private meeting of the alliance Tuesday night, when Orban refused to make any compromises, even claiming that he had no control over the actions of his lawmakers in Budapest, according to two people present at the meeting. The argument lasted for so long that the alliance’s interpreters left, leaving the members to debate in English rather than their mother tongues. The parliamentary vote came on the same day that Jean-Claude Juncker, president of the European Commission, made what is expected to be his last “state of the union” speech before EU elections next spring.

Juncker called for the bloc to be more aggressive in exercising its collective power, especially to defend a multilateral world order under threat from Trump, Russia and China.

“The geopolitical situation makes this Europe’s hour: The time for European sovereignty has come,” Juncker said grandly.

“Whenever Europe speaks as one, we can impose our position on others,” he said, arguing that a deal he struck in July with Trump to try to negotiate a solution to a potential trade war showed the power of unity.

The union is largely united on trade issues but has deep divisions on questions such as migration, security, values, and challenges to democratic and legal norms from central European members, especially Hungary and Poland.

Juncker, a federalist of the old school, also called for the euro currency to become more of a rival to the dollar for purchases of energy and high-tech European products like airplanes. The Europeans are struggling to preserve a nuclear deal with Iran in the face of U.S. opposition, but are stymied by American secondary sanctions, given the dominant role that the dollar plays in international trade and banking.

He also called for more investment in European defense, and for controlling migration by shoring up the bloc’s external borders and investing in countries from where many of the migrants originate.