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Has the peak passed? NC COVID cases, hospitalizations trend down

Over the past week, new coronavirus infections and the number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 across North Carolina have trended down ever so slightly. Does that mean the pandemic's peak has passed?

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By
Joe Fisher
, WRAL reporter

Over the past week, new coronavirus infections and the number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 across North Carolina have trended down ever so slightly. Does that mean the pandemic's peak has passed?

WRAL News asked Dr. Paul Delamater, an associate professor of geography at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill who’s been tracking COVID trends since the start of the pandemic.

He says the trends could hold, not because people are being more cautious, but because there are fewer and fewer people who haven't either had the virus or the vaccine.

“Even though we are getting lots of these big groups of people, just the number of people susceptible to getting COVID is shrinking and shrinking,” he said. “The way that it peaks was not because of mitigation efforts but because so many people have gotten immunity via being infected or vaccination.”

On Sept. 6, North Carolina was averaging 7,165 new cases a day and 3,814 in hospitals. By Sept. 11, the daily new cases average had dropped to 6,418; hospitalizations dropped to 3,760.

While declines are better than increases, there is still work left to do.

In answer to WRAL News' questions about the peak, the state Department of Health and Human Services issued this statement:

“With hospital capacity severely strained, we remain at a critical point in the pandemic … Vaccination is the most effective way to prevent the spread of COVID-19.”

"I am very hopeful and prayerful," said Josephine Harris, of Orange County. “I have relatives who are not vaccinated. I am pleading with them. I am begging them to get vaccinated.”

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