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For Luigi Di Maio, It’s Now or Never to Lead Italy. Unless It’s Later.

ROME — As he leads the Five Star Movement in negotiations to form a new Italian government, Luigi Di Maio, 31 and brimming with confidence, seems to have a long political career ahead of him.

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JASON HOROWITZ
, New York Times

ROME — As he leads the Five Star Movement in negotiations to form a new Italian government, Luigi Di Maio, 31 and brimming with confidence, seems to have a long political career ahead of him.

But according to the rules of his party, this is Di Maio’s last shot.

A fundamental rule of the Five Star Movement limits party members to two terms of elected office — at any level — over the course of their lifetime. Di Maio, who already served a term in Parliament, to which he was re-elected in March, is now in his second term.

The Five Star Movement, politically slippery and ideologically vague, has a record of bending its unbreakable party rules when victory is at stake, but for now, the term limit on Di Maio has added an element of now-or-never desperation to his bid to be Italy’s next prime minister.

It has also formed another complication in the stalemate after last month’s inconclusive election that may take weeks of negotiations to undo. Talks resume Monday after a week in which the parties began testing the waters.

Without the emergence of a consensus candidate or an alliance between Italy’s populist parties, the country could face new elections.

Maio’s anti-establishment Five Star Movement won about a third of the vote, by far the most for any single party. But the right-wing and populist League, led by the equally ambitious Matteo Salvini, 45, emerged as the leader of a coalition of parties that won even more votes, but not enough to form a government on its own.

As a result, both men have strong claims to lead the next government. Neither seems particularly eager to let the opportunity of a lifetime slip away.

“According to the rules of our democracy, it is necessary that there be some accords between different political forces to form a coalition,” Italy’s president, Sergio Mattarella, who is tasked with cobbling together a sustainable government from the fractured parties, said Thursday at the presidential palace. “This condition has not yet emerged.”

For now — a key phrase when discussing fluid Italian politics — it seems doubtful such conditions will soon present themselves.

For now, Di Maio says he is seeking support in Parliament from the outgoing center-left Democratic Party, which suffered a crushing defeat and was incessantly demonized by Five Star’s vast and often virulent social media network. (In an interview published in Saturday’s La Repubblica newspaper, Di Maio said it was time to “bury the hatchet.”)

For now, the Democratic Party has resisted Five Star’s entreaties and retreated to the opposition.

For now, Di Maio has said he refuses to join any government involving Silvio Berlusconi, the octogenarian whom Five Star leaders called a mafioso and a psychotic dwarf.

For now, Salvini won’t abandon Berlusconi, whose comeback plans suffered a humiliating setback when Salvini outperformed him.

For now, Di Maio and Salvini, who have expressed a similarly jaundiced outlook toward Europe, migrants and changes to the pension system, are maintaining their opposing positions, despite Roman graffiti depicting the two in a lusty embrace.

And for now, Di Maio says he is honoring the term-limit rule, of which he has said he is “proud.”

Speaking March 13 at Rome’s Foreign Press Club, Di Maio fielded a question about whether the term limit would still be valid if the president had to call new elections. The results of the vote would technically create a new legislature and a third term for Di Maio.

In response, Di Maio called the two-term limit “fundamental for us.”

“As I have always said,” he added, “the rule of the two mandates is sacrosanct.”

Rocco Casalino, a spokesman for the party, said it was a “possibility” that in the case of a new election, Di Maio and all the other newly elected Five Star members of Parliament, including those currently in their second terms, would automatically receive nominations to their current seats. But he insisted such a maneuver had “never been discussed.”

The party has loosened apparently hard-and-fast rules in the past.

It scratched its early ban on members appearing on television, hired a media consultant and flooded the airwaves with telegenic candidates.

It softened its originally draconian rules against members facing legal travails.

It also pledged never to enter a coalition, a promise challenged by the current negotiations over forming a government.

But the two-mandates commandment, central to the party’s anti-establishment character, has held.

Soon before her election as mayor of Rome in the summer of 2016, Virginia Raggi, a member of the Five Star Movement, balked at the question of whether she would ever want to be prime minister.

While her rocky tenure has made such a proposition unlikely, she explained in an interview at the time that since she had served in the City Council, she would be barred by the party’s rules from ever serving again.

“At the moment it’s not thinkable,” she said, adding that she would be free to help out a successor in a free or paid capacity: “I don’t know. Maybe a consultancy, one can hypothesize.”

Pressed as to whether great statesmen such as Franklin D. Roosevelt would have ever had the chance to hold higher office with such a rule, she said, “No, I don’t think so.”

“Let’s put it this way,” she added. “In Italy, professional politicians have ruined politics.”

But some former Five Star members say the rule has ruined promising politicians.

Fabio Fucci, 38, who served an abbreviated term as councilman of the Five Star Movement, was elected as mayor of Pomezia in 2013. Di Maio and others hailed him as a model of good governance, but when he announced his desire to run for re-election, he found himself on the outs with the party’s power-brokers.

Fucci argued in an interview that while the rule perhaps made sense 10 years ago when the party was a fringe protest movement, it was now “illogical.” Now that Five Star had become the leading political force in the country, the term limits prevented the formation of a management class with the necessary expertise at the local, regional and national levels, he said.

To make his case, Fucci and others traveled up to Milan in the spring of 2017 to Casaleggio Associates, the internet consulting firm run by Davide Casaleggio, the son of the party’s co-founder and the keeper of the web platform upon which Five Star elections are held.

Fucci said Casaleggio, who is unelected and unchecked by term limits, has a “huge role” in political decisions.

“He was inflexible,” Fucci said, recalling Casaleggio as saying, “'The rule doesn’t change and you can forget it.'”

But that was for Fucci. Now it is the career of Di Maio, the mainstream face of the party, that is at stake.

If the legislature were to be cut short for new elections, “not only Di Maio but dozens of newly elected members of Parliament” would be barred from running again. “This will weaken greatly the Five Star Movement,” he said.

Beyond automatically reinstating nominations, the Italian press has reported that the party has considered redefining two mandates as 10 years in office.

Fucci said he considered some such maneuver “very probable.”

“Unfortunately, and I say this with disappointment and bitterness,” he said, “they change the rules because it’s convenient. In this case to save Di Maio and the other parliamentarians.”

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