Vaccine mandates will boost NC economic recovery, UNC-Chapel Hill professor says
THE HOLIDAY CELEBRATION MAKING
>>> THE LATEST SURGE IN COVID
KISSES IS LIKELY SLOWING DOWN.
ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR THE REST OF
2021.
UNC CHARLOTTE ECONOMIST JOHN
RELEASED HIS ORDERLY ECONOMIC
FORECAST FOR THE STATE TODAY.
SOME OTHER BIG TAKEAWAYS,
UNEMPLOYMENT. AS WE'VE BEEN
REPORTING, AND AS YOU'VE
PROBABLY NOTICED, RESTAURANT,
RETAIL AND HOSPITALITY JOBS ARE
PLENTIFUL, BUT HARD TO FILL.
THE AREAS EXPECTED TO SEE THE
LARGEST EMPLOYMENT INCREASES
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR
OUR GOVERNMENT, INFORMATION AND
CONSTRUCTION.
PROFESSOR CHRISTIAN LUNDBLAD IS
WITH THE KENAN FLAGLER BUSINESS
SCHOOL AT UNC CHAPEL HILL.
PLENTY TO DISCUSS FROM THIS
REPORT.
I WANT TO START WITH THE
IMPLEMENT SITUATION.
FEDERAL BENEFITS RECENTLY
ENDED, EMPLOYERS ARE LOOKING TO
FILL THE JOBS, JUST LIKE WE
HEARD ABOUT IN CHAPEL HILL AND
AT THE WAKE COUNTY SCHOOL
SYSTEM.
WILL THE ENDING OF THE BENEFITS
PROVIDE ANY RELIEF FOR
EMPLOYERS?
>> YES, BUT THEY'LL BE
REASONABLY MODEST.
THAT IS ONE OF A MULTITUDE OF
THINGS THAT ARE IMPACTING THE
SUPPLY OF LABOR.
SO THAT'S CLEARLY GOING TO HAVE
SOME ROLE.
BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY,
THAT'S NOT THE DOMINANT FORCE.
THE DOMINANT FORCES
DISPROPORTIONATELY ABOUT THE
STATE OF THE VIRUS AND THE
WILLINGNESS OF LABORERS TO GO
BACK IN AND ENGAGE IN IN PERSON
ACTIVITY.
AND THAT IS, THAT'S ACTUALLY
SLIGHTLY MOVING IN THE WRONG
DIRECTION AS SOME DISCUSSED IN
THE REPORT. THE DELTA SURGE IS
BEING ASSOCIATED WITH
BACKTRACKING, FROM THAT
PERSPECTIVE.
>> ABOUT THIS REPORT,
GOVERNMENT INFORMATION AND
CONSTRUCTION ARE THE SECTORS
EXPECTED TO ADD THE MOST JOBS.
WHY IS THAT?
>> THE GOVERNMENT DOESN'T TAKE
THE SAME CONSTRAINTS AS THE
REST OF US IN THE PRIVATE
SECTOR.
INDEED, SOME OF THE STEPS ALSO
ARE NOT THOROUGHLY INVOLVING
THE SAME LEVEL OF IN PERSON
ACTIVITY.
AND CONSTRUCTION IS THERE
SIMPLY BECAUSE THERE ARE SOME
THINGS TO DO.
THERE OBVIOUSLY IS GOING TO BE
VERY KENT REPURPOSE SING OF
WHAT CONSTRUCTION AND OFFICE
SPACES ARE GOING TO LOOK LIKE,
GOING FORWARD.
BUT THERE ARE OPPORTUNITIES AND
I EXPECT TO SEE SOME GROWTH IN
THE SPACES.
>> WHAT DOES RECOVERY LOOK LIKE
FOR HOSPITALITY AND RETAIL?
>> THIS IS THE MOST
PROBLEMATIC, CLEARLY.
THE DISPROPORTIONATE IMPACT
WE'VE OBSERVED, IN THE HEAT OF
2020 AND THE SLOW RECOVERY
SINCE, HAS REALLY HIT THE
SECTORS INCREDIBLY HARD. THAT,
ALSO, IS DISPROPORTIONATE IN
TERMS OF WOMEN AND DIFFERENT
ETHNIC GROUPS, AND SUCH.
IT HAS BEEN PARTICULARLY
DIFFICULT. THE CHALLENGE, GOING
FORWARD, WAS ALWAYS GOING TO BE
DIFFICULT TO PUT HUMPTY DUMPTY
BACK TOGETHER AGAIN, FRANKLY.
SO SPACES, MANY OF THEM
DISAPPEARED AND THEY AREN'T
GOING TO COME BACK IN THE SAME
WAY.
AND, IF ANYTHING, DELTA HAS PUT
US BACK A BIT FURTHER, BECAUSE
THAT HAS ADDED AN EXTRA
HEADWIND, AS IT WERE, TO THE
RECOVERY THAT I THINK WE WERE
HOPING TO BE A LITTLE BIT
FURTHER UNDERWAY IN THE SECTORS
ALREADY.
>> I HAVE ABOUT 30 SECONDS
LEFT, BUT I WANTED TO ASK YOU
THAT.
WHAT DO YOU THINK THE IMPACT ON
THE ECONOMY WILL BE IF WE
CONTINUE THESE VACCINE MANDATES?
>> I THINK ULTIMATELY THAT'S
HELPFUL, FRANKLY.
ULTIMATELY, THE END OF THE DAY,
PEOPLE WILL BE MORE COMFORTABLE
COMING IN AND ENGAGING IN
NONESSENTIAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
AND WORKERS WILL BE MORE
COMFORTABLE WORKING IN SUCH
ENVIRONMENTS IF WE CAN HAVE
GREATER DEGREES OF VACCINE
PENETRATION AND MINIMIZE THE
IMPACT OF THE VIRUS. FOR ALL OF
THIS STARTED IN THE FIRST
PLACE.
IT WAS A HEALTH EMERGENCY AND
WE NEED A HEALTH RECOVERY IN
ORDER FOR US TO HAVE A
SUCCESSFUL ECONOMIC RECOVERY.
>> SO MANY VARIABLES TO THIS
RECOVERY. PROFESSOR CHRISTIAN
LUNDBLAD WITH UNC CHAPEL HILL.