Unemployment is up in NC, but bankruptcies are down - so far
Posted July 20, 2020 6:36 p.m. EDT
Raleigh, N.C. — The coronavirus pandemic has wreaked havoc on North Carolina's economy:
- The state unemployment rate jumped to 12.9 percent in April as businesses were ordered closed to limit the spread of the virus. As restrictions have eased, the jobless rate fell back to 7.6 percent in June, but that is still double what it was before the pandemic.
- More than 800,000 people statewide have received about $6.1 billion in unemployment benefits, with about two-thirds of that coming from federal benefits that are set to expire at the end of the week.
- More than 1,600 North Carolina companies also obtained anywhere from $150,000 to $10 million through the federal Paycheck Protection Program – another 105,000 received lesser amounts – to keep workers on their payrolls.
WRAL Investigates found that those investments have paid off on at least one front so far – personal bankruptcies are down in North Carolina. But that safety net could soon run out.
"We're seeing a big uptick in Chapter 11 filings, the corporate reorganizations," said Ciara Rogers with Campbell University's Norman Adrian Wiggins School of Law.
Rogers, who studies bankruptcy trends in North Carolina, said many of those companies were already on shaky ground before the coronavirus. Big brands like GNC, Brooks Brothers and Chuck E. Cheese recently filed for bankruptcy protection. Small businesses are also feeling pinched, she said.
"Some restaurants have started to file," she said.
Despite the struggling economy, there hasn't been a spike in consumer bankruptcy cases yet.
WRAL Investigates went through bankruptcy cases across North Carolina from mid-March, when restaurants were first shut down, to the end of June. During that time, there were 2,612 bankruptcy filings in North Carolina, compared with 3,683 during the same period last year.
"A lot of that has to do with the various federal, state and local government programs that are still helping people get through," Rogers said.
- Half of US adults live in households that lost income in pandemic
- Are You Eligible for Food Stamps Now? Maybe, but It’s Complex
Those programs include the federal mortgage protection program, the Paycheck Protection Program, extended unemployment benefits and the extra $600 a week in unemployment that is set to on Saturday.
Rogers predicted personal bankruptcies could explode later this year if some of those programs aren't extended.
Congress continues to debate plans to extend relief.
One proposal in the Senate would continue the $600-a-week aid package but reduce it based on the unemployment rate in individual states. Protection on federally backed mortgages is also set to expire in September unless lawmakers take action.
Rogers said she hopes people have been smart with their money.
"That [extra unemployment benefit] allowed people to hopefully plan ahead and allow them to stay afloat for a little longer than they otherwise would have been able to do," she said. "What I think we'll see toward the end of 2020 is interest rates will remain low, but credit may become more unavailable or difficult to get, and that's going to push more people into bankruptcy."
With no end in sight for the pandemic, she said people need to look for financial solutions now.
"Don't stick your head in the sand," she said. "Now is the time to make those tough decisions. Now is the time to see if this business model you've been using is working."