WRAL poll: Trump charges ahead in NC

Posted November 1, 2016

— With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday.

SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

In a WRAL News poll released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.

The latest poll was conducted after the FBI notified members of Congress that it was reopening an investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server while secretary of state. Meanwhile, an Elon University Poll released Tuesday that was conducted before the FBI announcement found Clinton and Trump in a dead heat in North Carolina.

Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while experience and character were far behind at 17 and 8 percent, respectively.

WRAL News Poll image Highlights of WRAL News poll

Of those ranking trustworthiness most important, 83 percent favor Trump. He also wins among those most concerned about issues, 52 to 43 percent. Clinton was favored by 93 percent of those most concerned with experience, and she doubled up Trump among voters concerned about character, 58 to 26 percent.

Still, many people aren't enthusiastic about either candidate.

Among those voting for either Clinton or Trump, two in five said their ballot was or would be cast simply to oppose the other candidate rather than in support of their candidate, according to the poll. Thirty-eight percent of Trump voters and 32 percent of Clinton backers said they were voting "with reservations" about their candidate.

Breaking down the results, Trump has flipped the gender gap in recent weeks, cutting Clinton's 12-point lead among women down to 7 points while widening his dominance among male voters from 9 points to 23 points. He also has erased her lead among voters 50 and older, moving from a 5-point deficit to an 11-point advantage, while maintaining his slight lead among voters ages 18 to 49.

Clinton's sizable lead in North Carolina's metro areas also has eroded since early October. Her 64 to 27 percent lead among urban voters three weeks ago is down to 53 to 43 percent, and her 9-point lead in the suburbs is now a 2-point deficit. Meanwhile, Trump has extended his lead among rural voters from 18 to 26 points.

The economy continues to be the most important national issue among voters, according to the poll, and Clinton continues to hold the lead over Trump among people ranking it their top concern. But Trump has widened his lead among voters most concerned with national security – the No. 2 overall issue – moving from a 20-point to a 43-point advantage. He also cut into Clinton's lead among voters most concerned with health care – the No. 3 overall issue – narrowing a 39-point deficit in early October to 13 points.

Trump has railed against the Affordable Care Act recently after the government notified people that premiums would go up an average of 24 percent nationwide next year. He also has repeatedly criticized the Obama administration's handling of the fight against Islamic State forces in the Middle East.

The WRAL News poll also questioned people about the potential for voter fraud, given North Carolina's voter ID law that has been overturned in the federal courts and Trump's claims that the election will be rigged in Clinton's favor.

Thirteen percent of respondents said in-person voter fraud occurs often at their particular polling site, and another 32 percent said it sometimes happens. Those people overwhelmingly favor Trump for president, while people who said voter fraud is rare or never occurs at their polling site back Clinton more frequently.


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  • Randy Smith Nov 4, 2016
    user avatar

    When Clinton and her Clinton Foundation goes on trial, it is going nuclear in a very bad way.. Oh wait.. she and the foundation gave up all the uranium to the Russians.. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/24/us/cash-flowed-to-clinton-foundation-as-russians-pressed-for-control-of-uranium-company.html?mwrsm=Facebook

  • Judy Loftin Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    Raliegh Rose, Trump has never raped anyone, especially a child.

  • Judy Loftin Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    I voted for Trump this week.

  • Shannon Speil Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    Despite all of the hate and lies from the Zionist media, Trump will win and he will restore order, freedom and security to this country. We need a strong leader who will end illegal immigration and keep America FIRST and SAFE! A vote for Trump is a vote for America.

  • Lance Boyle Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    Yes, just follow the yellow brick road to never never land folks. It will be a beautiful thing, it will be the most awesome road you have ever taken. People are saying it leads to a bright white light. I have heard them say it and I believe it.

  • Bill Huntington Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    I see quite a bit of misinformation being spread on these comment sections concerning Donald Trump. How anyone can insult the idea of freedom from government, enthusiasm and pride in country and boldness in foreign policy is beyond me. Under president Trump, our borders will be secure, our children will be safe and our country will come first! Illegal immigration will be addressed and given the urgency it deserves as well as the wellbeing of our citizens will be guaranteed. The liberals want nothing but to give away handouts and spread fear and paranoia throughout the minority communities. It's no wonder racial tensions are at a high under Obama.

  • Eric Hammond Nov 3, 2016
    user avatar

    can North Carolinians really be this dumb? Trump is a fascist plain and simple... "the cult of the strong leader" - making "America great again" that is precisely what Mussolini and Hitler promised Italy and Germany back in the 1930's. people seriously have no problem voting to put that narcissistic megalomanic in control of nukes?

  • Marty Martin Nov 2, 2016
    user avatar

    Hillary will be a GREAT President!
    Trump will continue PAYING fines for stiffing small businesses.
    In July, a judge ordered Trump to pay a Mom & Pop the $35K he owed, plus $300K in attorney's fees. That was lien #22 on a golf course in Florida - in August the 23rd lien was filed for $236K, per Miami Herald.

  • Letha Book Nov 2, 2016
    user avatar

    View quoted thread

    Wonder if it will happen seeing that it has been thrown out of other states.

  • Raleigh Rose Nov 2, 2016
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    In addition to all those other lawsuits, there is also the pending lawsuit in December for Trump's rape of a 13 year old girl.