Log in to WRAL.com with one click using your favorite social network:
OR
Log in using your WRAL.com account:



Wrong email/password combination.

Forgot password?

Register with WRAL.com using your favorite social network:
OR
Register for a WRAL.com account using our web form.

Login Options

2:21 p.m. • 2-12-12

Weather Forecast for Raleigh

  • Mon: Partly Cloudy.
    • Hi: 50° F
  • Tue: Rain.
    • Hi: 53° F
  • Wed: Partly Cloudy.
    • Hi: 57° F

Other Locations

> 7 Day Forecast

Doppler Image

Marketplace Links

Social Links

Main Menu

WeatherCenter meteorologists

WRAL WeatherCenter Blog

WRAL's WeatherCenter meteorologists take you behind the weather headlines, answer questions and look to the sky to add insight and explanation for conditions in the Carolinas. You also can find us on Facebook and become a fan!

RSS Feed
I see on the news everyday a chart showing today's temperatures and normal temperatures - How do you determine "Normal" temparature? Is it an average temperature over a period?

MIKE MOSS SAYS:      Sravan,       The "normal" value we present on air is computed by the National Climatic Data Center, and is based on 30 years of observations ending with the most recent "zero" year, with the normal values updated once every ten years. While the numbers are quite close, they are not necessarily the same as a straight 30 year average over the same set of years. This is because, in order to produce a smoothly varying normal that doesn't, for example, decrease for a couple of days during the spring or increase an occasional day in the fall, due to random variations and the fairly small sample size of 30 values, NCDC computes these normals in a way that will cause values to increase a little each day through the spring and vice versa for the fall, and to smoothly curve through a minimum in mid-January and a maximum in mid-July. They do this by using the 30 years' data to directly calculate MONTHLY averages, and then fit a smooth (cubic spline) curve to those averages in order to retrieve the daily numbers that vary in the desired manner.

If you're interested in more details about how climate "normals" are arrived at, NCDC provides a fairly complete description at the address below:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/normals/usnormalsprods.html#CLIM84

 

Read More Posts from this Blog
e-mail print friendly

0 Comments


WRAL.com welcomes your comments on this story. All comments are moderated prior to publication based on our posting guidelines. Please review them prior to posting and if your message is not approved.

This story is closed for comments. Comments on WRAL.com news stories are accepted and moderated between the hours of 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. Monday through Friday.


Featured Blogposts

  • scotty and mr wuf

    American Idol and Garner native Scotty McCreery performs at N.C. State's Hoops 4 Hope. The circus is in town. And Olympic-level table tennis stops in Cary. Here's what's happening this weekend.

  • Hoops 4 Hope on Feb. 15, 2009

    The Hillsborough Street Community Service Corporation is sponsoring Play 4Kay events on Hillsborough Street starting Feb. 8 to support Hoops 4 Hope and the Kay Yow Cancer Fund.

  • Heart

    Showering your loved ones with goodies is always fun to do on Valentine's Day, but not if it leaves you drowning in debt! With a little planning and creativity, you can show your loved ones you care and stay within your budget.

Other Recent Blogposts