WRAL WeatherCenter Blog
WRAL's WeatherCenter meteorologists take you behind the weather headlines, answer questions and look to the sky to add insight and explanation for conditions in the Carolinas. You also can find us on Facebook and become a fan!
MIKE MOSS SAYS: Patricia, I'm afraid that's way beyond the reach of any kind of actual weather forecast. What we can do is take a look at climatology (i.e. "normal" conditions for that date) and see what kind of large scale seasonal signals might be reflected in climate outlooks for that period.
In particular, for June 7th in the Raleigh area, the normal high is 84 with a standard deviation of +/- 7 degrees, while the normal low is 62 +/- 6 degrees. The lowest high on record for that date is 61 and the hottest is 96, and the coldest low has been 47 while the warmest low has been 71.
As for precipitation, we are subject to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms that time of year, with hit and miss coverage that ends up giving a particular location just over a 20% chance of rainfall of one tenth of an inch or greater on a given day, so that this tends to happen about 6-7 days in June.
The Climate Prediction Center outlook for the May-June-July period (a single month is too volatile for skillful predictions that far in advance) calls for equal chances of above, near, or below normal temperature and precipitation, meaning that there is no large scale forcing pattern evident at this time that would tilt the odds toward more or less rain, or toward warmer or cooler temperatures. There is a La Nina patern in place in the Pacific at this time that is expected to linger through spring and perhaps into early summer. However, while La Nina correlates reasonable well with some areas of above or below normal rain and temperature for parts of the U.S. during the mid-fall to mid-spring period, it does not impose much of an influence during the warmer months that is useful for predictive purposes.
Hope that helps, and for you or anyone else whow would like to looks some of this up for other dates or events, here are some of the online resources I used to find that information...
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
http://ols.nndc.noaa.gov/plolstore/plsql/olstore.prodspecific?prodnum=C00095-PUB-A0001#TABLES
http://www.sercc.com/climateinfo/historical/historical_nc.html
- Space travel has own traditions and supersitions Posted: 3:55 p.m. Friday
- What happened to Pluto Posted: 8:30 a.m. Tuesday
- The winter so far at RDU Posted: 7:57 a.m. Monday
0 Comments
Featured Blogposts
American Idol and Garner native Scotty McCreery performs at N.C. State's Hoops 4 Hope. The circus is in town. And Olympic-level table tennis stops in Cary. Here's what's happening this weekend.
- What's on Tap
Charity events planned around Hoops 4 HopeThe Hillsborough Street Community Service Corporation is sponsoring Play 4Kay events on Hillsborough Street starting Feb. 8 to support Hoops 4 Hope and the Kay Yow Cancer Fund.
- WRAL SmartShopper
Love for Less: frugal Valentine's Day tipsShowering your loved ones with goodies is always fun to do on Valentine's Day, but not if it leaves you drowning in debt! With a little planning and creativity, you can show your loved ones you care and stay within your budget.
Other Recent Blogposts
- WRAL WeatherCenter Blog: Space travel has own traditions and supersitions
- WRAL WeatherCenter Blog: What happened to Pluto
- WRAL WeatherCenter Blog: The winter so far at RDU
- Brian Shrader's Siteseeing Blog: What's trending: Antelope shoes and ping-pong baby
- Brian Shrader's Siteseeing Blog: How cereal box designs have changed
Travel NC By Train: Click for Daily Schedules!
2012 Honda Civic Sign and Drive $199 per month.






WRAL.com welcomes your comments on this story. All comments are moderated prior to publication based on our posting guidelines. Please review them prior to posting and if your message is not approved.
This story is closed for comments. Comments on WRAL.com news stories are accepted and moderated between the hours of 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. Monday through Friday.