Weather

Triangle expected to receive 1-2 punch of snow this week

Posted February 23, 2015

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— Central North Carolina is expected to receive a 1-2 punch of snow this week.

A weak system will bring a light dusting of flurries to the Triangle on Tuesday, though coastal areas could receive up to 2 inches of snow, WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze said. Coastal and southeastern counties are under a winter weather advisory from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Tuesday.

The projected weather led New Hanover County Schools, Pender County Schools and Bladen County Schools to cancel classes on Tuesday; teachers and staff in the three districts have an optional work day. Camp Lejeune District Schools are also closed Tuesday. Duplin County Schools, Sampson County Schools and Clinton City Schools will operate on a two-hour delay Tuesday.

Raleigh has an 80 percent chance of receiving up to an inch of snow by Tuesday afternoon, WRAL Chief Meteorologist Greg Fishel said.

“I think we’ll definitely see snow,” he said. “Tomorrow is one of those situations where there’s not a chance of it turning into a major snow, but there’s a chance of receiving enough for it to have some impact.”

A subsequent system could bring 3-6 inches of snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning, but how much of it sticks will depend on a number of variables, Fishel said.

"We definitely expect heavier amounts of precipitation," he said. "The issues are going to be how much is going to fall and what form is it going to be in, and is the warm ground leading into the event going to be an issue in terms of cutting down on accumulation."

According to forecasts from the Weather Prediction Center, if the storm shifts 50 miles southeast of Raleigh, the Triangle could receive little snow, Fishel said. But if it shifts 50 miles northwest, he said central North Carolina could receive "a significant snow event, if it's all snow."

As for Monday night, Raleigh has a 40 percent chance of seeing more than two inches of snow early Thursday morning, Fishel said.

8 Comments

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  • Karen Byrd Feb 23, 2015
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    Snowmaggedon!! Bread and Milk now!

  • Aaron Phillips Feb 23, 2015
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    View quoted thread


    Lol alrighty then, bud. No real argument. No surprise there. :P

  • John Dees Feb 23, 2015
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    Anyone, huh? Okay, go ahead to the NOAA NCEP site, take a look at the 18z GFS trends up to about hr 84, and compare its trends with previous 6z, 12z etc runs. Note the trend. Then go find the ECMWF somewhere and notice how it and the UKMET have a pretty different scenario compared to the GFS. Also, taking a look at the 4km-NAM hi-res and tell me which other model solution it agrees with. Since anyone can do it, I'm interested in hearing your input on this ."

    Aaron Phillips

    LOL! My point is made. I don't even want to guess about your views of global warming. I would bet it is predicted with the BIGMONEY model which barely differs from the GOVTFUNDED model both wanting to coincide with the LETSTAXIT model.
    Do yourself a favor and go get a farmers almanac. It out predicts you guys on a consistent basis.

  • John Dees Feb 23, 2015
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    Agreed with both of you. I think they are gun shy about their predictions honestly. I think the old school predictors went with their gut feeling which is something these guys are scared to death to try. Fishel is out of that old school and is pretty good about laying it out there but it is still that forecast that will give the a "definite maybe". They love their computer models too much to step outside and have a look around. Stick with watching the weather predicted 12 hours ahead of time and you will be fine. Other than that you are in the global warming crowd -----and always wrong.

  • Aaron Phillips Feb 23, 2015
    user avatar

    View quoted thread


    Anyone, huh? Okay, go ahead to the NOAA NCEP site, take a look at the 18z GFS trends up to about hr 84, and compare its trends with previous 6z, 12z etc runs. Note the trend. Then go find the ECMWF somewhere and notice how it and the UKMET have a pretty different scenario compared to the GFS. Also, taking a look at the 4km-NAM hi-res and tell me which other model solution it agrees with. Since anyone can do it, I'm interested in hearing your input on this ULL situation for hr ~54, too.

  • Guy Percy Feb 23, 2015
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    I'm so sick of the dual forecasts every time we get a winter storm. "It's going to snow 6 feet....or it may be 80 degrees and sunny." Back when Bob Debarbeladen was there he had a fraction of the technology and was right more often than the current crew.

  • Bo Hart Feb 23, 2015
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    all I know is anyone could be a meteorologist , just say anything and change It every hour ...

  • Doug Bradley Feb 23, 2015
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    Here's goes the grocery store rush....