Weather

Maze: 'Novelty flakes' will bring quick, pretty hit of white

Posted March 10

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— The chance of seeing some snow blankets all the counties around the Triangle, but as the forecast models progress, the amount of predicted snow declines.

"Most of us will just see novelty flakes which may leave a trace of snow," WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze said. "A trace to a dusting to an inch in some locations. But it will be gone by noon."

"Anything that might accumulate would have to be gone by the end of the day as temperatures increase."

He did not predict enough accumulation to have an impact on roads, although the North Carolina Department of Transportation spent Friday spreading brine as a precaution on the highways.

"This is trending to be a very light event. It's a dusting, and for some folks it won't even be that."

"This system is going to move in and out quickly and have limited moisture," Maze said. "In the afternoon the sun comes out and we warm into the 40s so any snow would melt quickly."

Snowfall totals have trended downward in computer models since the beginning of the week. The most recent models show possibly a trace to an inch of snow from Fayetteville to the north, while in Fayetteville and point to the south could see more than an inch.

The track of the storm has shifted southward, too, which contributed to some of the decline in snowfall totals. The direction of the system will take its center through South Carolina instead of North Carolina.

The storm system that will bring the snow will blow through North Carolina early Sunday morning. Temperatures will drop down into the 30s by the time the system arrives and eventually dip down near freezing, giving every county in the Tar Heel State at least the chance of seeing a flurry of snow.

Temperatures in Raleigh will bottom out at 32 degrees on Sunday morning, though some towns, such as Roxboro, will hit 28 degrees.

"You can see that snow moving on through, but it looks fairly light as it comes on by," Gardner said. "We warm back up into the 40s for the afternoon."

With ground temperatures in the 50s, though, Gardner said the snow won't stick around long. A light layer of snow could turn the ground white briefly Sunday morning, but eventually the warm ground will melt it away.

"Models, certainly over the last couple of days, have been trending down with the snowfall totals," Gardner said. "Of course, that could change over the next 48 hours as this system starts to move across the United States."

Maze said temperatures will feel like January on Sunday and most of next week.

"Welcome to winter," Maze said. That's how its going to feel for the next seven days."

"We have another freezing morning on Monday, and we do have the potential to have some rain on Monday. Low pressures are developing off-shore, which could bring quite a bit of rain on Monday.Depending on how it develops will determine who will see the snow."

6 Comments

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  • Len White Mar 10, 7:58 p.m.
    user avatar

    All that said, I still remember a few decades back when one of the forecasters said, “What you see outside this morning is six to eight inches of ‘no significant accumulation’.”

  • Fred Neopolitano Mar 10, 7:19 p.m.
    user avatar

    Weather forecasting is all about trends. Right now, the chance of snow is decreasing, but who knows, it may just go back up right before Sunday! Stay tuned.

  • Pete Knowles Mar 10, 11:22 a.m.
    user avatar

    All you armchair weather experts amaze me! Forecasting is not an exact science. I guess you people have nothing better to do than second guess.

  • Brenda Love Mar 10, 11:07 a.m.
    user avatar

    in before we get a foot of snow lol

  • Joseph Wilkins Mar 10, 8:47 a.m.
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    You don't say. Sunday afternoon the only thing you will be able to measure is how tall your grass is. Its like the more "advance" your equipment gets the less accurate your forecast are. WE WILL NOT SEE ANY ACCUMULATION! Stop replacing common sense with tools. (Year 2025 Forecast; "our model show 400 inches or snow") SMH

  • Marvin Sanderford Mar 10, 8:06 a.m.
    user avatar

    Oh gosh, snow forecast has decreased? oh what is the word.... ah yeah. "DUH"! One of the hazards as a weatherperson is forecasting things too far out and having to revised their stirrings of the pot the closer to the date it gets. In this case, I wondered why they bothered mentioning this a week ago when the storm was still in the Pacific.