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Democratic debate
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Dalton leads Etheridge in new PPP poll

Published: 2012-04-24 07:53:00
Updated: 2012-04-24 10:35:31

Public Policy Polling, a firm allied with Democrats, came out with new data on the Democratic gubernatorial primary. Its headline finding: Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton now has a slight lead over former U.S. Rep. Bob Etheridge.* Click here for the full data set.

Even if you don't buy the exact numbers(26 percent Dalton, 25 percent Etheridge) the fact Dalton has picked up ground against Etheridge since PPP's poll a month ago is significant. What isn't clear, to me anyway, is whether that move is due to debate performances, television ad runs starting or some other factor.

Also significant: 35 percent of primary voters are undecided. That's a lot of votes up for grabs with early voting under way.

In any case, state Rep. Bill Faison can't be happy with these results. He has picked up only one percentage point over the late March poll, bringing him up to 5 percent of respondents saying they'll vote for him. That's only one percentage point better to the unknown and under-financed campaigns of Bruce Blackmon and Gary Dunn.

With Faison lagging so far behind, the political conversation may soon turn to whether Dalton or Etheridge will get over the 40 percent mark needed to avoid a summer runoff.

Other notes from the poll:

  • PPP polled on David Parker and whether he should resign as chairman of the party. Despite 44 percent of respondents saying they "didn't know" whether they approved of the job he was doing, 45 percent said he should resign. An interesting tidbit from the cross tab: if a voter described himself as more conservative he was less likely to say Parker should quit.
  • PPP asked about the primaries for lieutenant governor, treasurer and labor commissioner. In all three races, over 50 percent of voters said they were undecided.

* Update: An astute reader points out that the margin of error for the poll is 4.4 percent. Therefore, Dalton doesn't have a statistical lead on Etheridge. But as far as this poll goes, Dalton is winning. 

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33 Comments


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Bob needs to retire back to the tobacco farm!!! We don't need a liberal like him!!!

Dalton and Etheridge. Who cares? Dalton appears to be an imbecile, obsessed with repeating his own name. Etheridge is desperate to win anything.

When Laura Leslie used "alacrity" to describe Dalton and "avuncular" to describe Etheridge.....that's when Walter's poll numbers took off! : )

"the repubs are at least trying to reform education by eliminating tenure."

And what will that accomplish? Allow principals who might have a personal vendetta against an otherwise experienced and effective teacher to just get rid of them without any justifiable reason? You think that is education reform?

snshine62d - the repubs are at least trying to reform education by eliminating tenure. The dems want to keep everything the way it is and simply hope it improves by calling for additional taxes they cannot get. Nice plan.

southern girl-"McCrory is my pick for the next Governor. If he had won last time, I don't believe our state would be in such a mess. Hopefully, he will win this time around."

Yes, the worldwide recession that hit every state and most countries would probably have magically bypassed us.

I'm really behind Faison!

the repubs are gonna sweep this state in nov by a landslide-- as well they should -- from the jailer to to the gov nor--- aftrer 120 yrs of democrqat rule and ownership of nc -- it's time to correct the failure

Ask the teachers how happy they are with the repubs, I'd hold off on your landslide. The repubs have already shown they don't care about the people.

Why are they wasting the money because none of them can beat McCrory? Oh that's right, they're Democrats and all they know how to do is waste money!

I laugh every time I see Dalton speak. If he is the best the Democrats have, they are in trouble!

the repubs are gonna sweep this state in nov by a landslide-- as well they should -- from the jailer to to the gov nor--- aftrer 120 yrs of democrqat rule and ownership of nc -- it's time to correct the failure.

"Update: An astute reader points out that the margin of error for the poll is 4.4 percent. Therefore, Dalton doesn't have a statistical lead on Etheridge. But as far as this poll goes, Dalton is winning."

No, since the difference between the two candidates is within the margin of sampling error it means that the race is too close for this poll to determine who is winning.

McCrory is my pick for the next Governor. If he had won last time, I don't believe our state would be in such a mess. Hopefully, he will win this time around.

Not surprise, what would been a surprise is if the story said that "Who are you?" would of been in the lead.

Etheridge just has to win. After Bev leaves office he will no longer have some made up government job paid for by the NC taxpayers.

Etheridge is not spending HIS money,, He is spend our money, We have kept him up too long, for what,,, Who are you???

That is crazy. Etheridge is the best candidate. He has so much more influence and experience. computer trainer

Already an expert in corruption (influence and experience), the Democratic Way! If elected, get his prison cell ready.

The way the Democratic party of NC is going, they are just about to reserve an entire cell block!

It doesn't matter which democrat win the primary, they can't win in 2012 election.

Etheridge just needs to save his money and time and stay home. We dont need another do nothing governor again.

That is crazy. Etheridge is the best candidate. He has so much more influence and experience.

I watched their videos on the Durham County Board of Elections web site and all three of them say the exact same thing. I need to do some more background research.

Anybody but a Dem.!!!

Anybody but Etheridge!

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