Durham, N.C. — Capitalism runs on psychology as much as money, and almost daily doses of bad news about job losses and home foreclosures have battered the nation's psyche into a negative feedback loop, experts say.
The recession has instilled such fear into Americans that even those with jobs and money to spend are cutting back, causing the economy to contract even more.
"Right now, it's just about panic and fear in the market, and this is just feeding on itself," said Dan Ariely, a behavioral economist at Duke University and author of "Predictably Irrational," a book about how we make decisions. "The psychology is going to influence the reality."
Ariely said that even he recently hesitated before splurging to take his first vacation in 10 years.
"It felt bad spending a certain amount of money going on vacation," he said.
Raleigh investment adviser Gerald Townsend said he sees similar behavior in the stock market and among his clients. Fear turns overvalued stocks into undervalued ones and investors panic, he said.
"When it's the fever pitch is when we want to totally abandon things, and history has shown that's a bad time to make a new decision," Townsend said. "Ultimately, if we think the economy's going down, we'll help it go down."
Retiree Beverly Honeycutt said the grim headlines have worried her so much that she watches more closely what her family spends.
"I feel like the future looks a little bleak right now," Honeycutt said. "You can only take so much, and it can be devastating."
Ariely and Townsend said planning is a better road to a solution than panic is. Injecting hope into the nation's economic outlook could result in a different self-fulfilling prophecy, they said.
"We owe it to ourselves to try and understand and figure out what is going on, where we stand and be active in this process of getting out of this trouble," Ariely said.



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And therein (IMHO) lies the problem. Money is a tool, it can be used properly to bring physical comforts and necessities. But no amount is going to do beans for the psyche. This country's economy has been based on excessive consumption for too long. It wouldn't be so bad if we were actually making some of what we were consuming. But that went away a long time ago. Now is the time for adjustment and to pay the piper, so to speak.
February 24, 2009 8:39 a.m.
arroyofly: "Ignore the problem and it will just go away? Is that what some of you think this is, merely a psychological recession?"
To answer your question, Yes we do. Feelings are exactly what makes people spend money or not spend money. Money not being spent is exactly what drives a recession. The country's residents still have the same amount of money before, during, and after a recession. Yes some have more and some have less. But the total money in the US doesn't change much. The only thing that changes is how much of that money they spend. Its simply a cycle of confidence that will rebound in time. You can throw all kinds of money at it. But if confidence isn't there, the recession will continue. We don't need Obama constantly telling everyone how bad it is. We need his confidence and leadership.
February 24, 2009 7:22 a.m.
February 23, 2009 9:45 p.m.
Same to be said for the fix for this 'crisis', it will not occur overnight. The present administration has seen that this will have LONG lasting effects. One could deduce that the blame game will point toward a lame duck with little retort, which would sway the political non-thinkers (yes, that means voters) to cast future votes toward the gloomers' agenda.
February 23, 2009 9:40 p.m.
February 23, 2009 9:39 p.m.