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Raleigh Crime Rate Down Slightly, Latest Report Shows

Posted March 17, 2007
Updated March 18, 2007

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— Violent crime increased last year, but the city's overall crime rate declined, according to a report released Friday by the Raleigh Police Department.

The collective number of homicides, rapes, robberies, aggravated assaults, burglaries, larcenies and motor vehicle thefts -- which make up what the department calls the Part 1 Crime Index -- in 2006 increased by 2.4 percent, which was less than Raleigh's 3.3 percent population growth -- factors that combined to produce the improved crime rate.

"The actual raw numbers went up a little bit, but not near as much as the population percentage went up," said Raleigh interm police chief Kent Sholar.

Violent crimes, overall, increased 8.6 percent from 2005 with a more significant increase in robberies and aggravated assaults. The number of homicides, however, was down 10 percent.

Property crimes -- comprised of burglary, larceny and motor vehicle theft -- made up about 85 percent of the city's Part 1 crimes, with the largest increase (2.7 percent) in larceny.

However, the city's crime rate -- the national standard used to compare the occurrence of crimes between jurisdictions of varying sizes -- stands at 4,207, less than 1 percent lower than 2005's crime rate of 4,244.

Sholar said the police department is pleased with the numbers overall, but he said he is the most concerned about the rise in robberies.

“As we get more people, we're going to have raw numbers showing more crime,” Sholar said. “Our battle is to keep the crime rate from increasing.”


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  • Get a clue Mar 19, 2007

    Where are all these doughnut shops My Screen Name? I don't see one on Fayetteville St.

  • smoothtip99 Mar 19, 2007

    We need a subway system here.

  • My Screen name Mar 19, 2007

    If Durham used the same tactics as Raleigh did their crime rate would drop too.......put a donut shop on each corner in Durham too........it works

  • DontLikeTheSocialistObama Mar 18, 2007

    As they say in Accounting circles, figures don't lie, but liars do figure.

  • mvnull Mar 18, 2007

    Lesson 1 on how to lie with statistics:

    Population growth is determined from January 1 to December 31. Crime is spread out over the entire year. If people move in at a constant rate (which they don't, but bear with me), the population growth is 3.8%, AND the crime rate was constant (which it may not be), then crime should increase at a rate of 1.9% (1/2 of 3.8%, since half the new people arrived by July 1 and half arrived after July 1). In this case 2.4% is above the rate due to population growth. Seems to me that the crime rate actually increased! Of course, my assumptions are naive. I'm sure the City could figure it out more precisely, but I doubt they will -- it is much more to their benefit to pretend that crime has decreased.

  • buck121794 Mar 18, 2007

    Oh goody, crime is down but the violent crime rate is up. I am confused-sounds like Raleigh would rather have more violent crimes than less harmful crimes. At least, the RPD seems happy about it.

  • Get a clue Mar 18, 2007

    Hey Tomi Hancock, how did the victims go home unconcious? You are so full of it. The question is, what did the victims do to get that kind of reaction? Fayetteville St is very safe, but what do you expect to see when you go out drinking at a bar? If you go out to party and get drunk, then you get whatever comes to you if you act like an idiot.

  • Tired Of Excuses Mar 18, 2007

    Fuzzy math....too funny. Crime down in Raleigh, hum...wasn't it just a few months ago when a woman was abducted from a parking deck on her way to work? Oh, I guess now that downtown Raleigh is trying to attract more visitors they want us to think that it's safer. NO place is safe. Never throw caution to the wind. Always watch your 6 and know your surroundings. Crime happens in the best of neighborhoods.

  • BLA BLA BLA Mar 18, 2007

    NEWS FLASH: Crime Rate Down, Accident Rate UP!!

  • StrickDaddy Mar 18, 2007

    Funny--The Perlov administration got credit for the 7 yr decline--yet she was the Chief for only five years. The national trend has been for 7 years--a decline. It appears that the national trend may begin to rise this year due to the economy. So, she gets out while she can still take credit for the decline. Who's going to get credit for the increase next year??? Is Mr. City Manager reading???