Local Politics

Poll: Presidential, Senate races still tight

Posted September 22, 2008
Updated September 25, 2008

WRAL News Poll image

Editor's note: An poll conducted Sept. 18 by Rasmussen Reports contained a mistake in the wording of one of the questions, so the firm conducted a new poll to correct the error.

RALEIGH, N.C. — Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama holds a 49 to 47 percent edge over Republican John McCain among North Carolina voters, according to a WRAL News poll released Thursday.

Polling firm Rasmussen Reports surveyed 500 likely voters across the state on Tuesday and found the race clearly breaks along racial and ideological lines. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

About two-thirds of white voters back McCain, while 98 percent of black voters and 56 percent of other minority voters support Obama, according to the poll. Obama also garnered the support of 71 percent of people who identified themselves as moderate and holds a 51 to 41 percent lead among independent voters, according to the poll.

McCain is favored more by older voters and those with families, but the poll shows a growing gender gap in the presidential race, with 55 percent of women backing Obama and 41 percent for McCain.

McCain's choice of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate appears to have had little impact on his standing among female voters. Fifty-two percent of women surveyed had a favorable image of Palin, but 40 percent said she was the wrong choice as a vice presidential candidate.

The economy is by far the top election issue among North Carolina voters, with 46 percent calling it most important. National security issues ranked a distant second at 22 percent, followed by fiscal issues at 9 percent.

Meanwhile, Democrat Kay Hagan has a 48 to 45 percent lead over incumbent U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole with six weeks left until the election, according to the poll.

The numbers are a turnaround from a WRAL News poll taken in July, when Dole held a 53 to 41 percent advantage.

Hagan has a double-digit lead among female voters in the latest poll, as well as overwhelming support – 78 percent – among black voters. Dole leads among independents by 51 to 33 percent and among voters with families and older voters.


This story is closed for comments.

Oldest First
View all
  • destewart2 Sep 26, 2008

    Dr. Dataclerk (if obama does win, big if) he can only "change" as much as congress will let him. it isnt like he is going to be able to do everything that he "claims" he is going to do. the good thing about obama being president is that he will have NO REAL power.

  • NotFromHere Sep 22, 2008

    "Obama is only 1/8th black. Look it up. 1/2 white, 1/4 Arabic, 1/4 black. His decendents make him 1/8 black...not 1/2."

    Where do you get this nonsense? His father was a Kenyan diplomat - born and raised in Kenya - 100% African. His father is not part white or part Arab. If you think otherwise, site a reliable source.

  • whatusay Sep 22, 2008

    Obama is only 1/8th black. Look it up. 1/2 white, 1/4 Arabic, 1/4 black. His decendents make him 1/8 black...not 1/2.

  • davidgnews Sep 22, 2008

    Hagen ahead of Dole, I'm curious why North Carolinians are listening to outsiders.

    They have been for Dole's commercials. She lets everyone else do her talking. If she had any real moxie she'd personally address the voters in her commercials. I agree that it may start showing her facelif...er, age but she needs to take the risk.

  • rc4nc Sep 22, 2008

    Hagen ahead of Dole, I'm curious why North Carolinians are listening to outsiders. Dole must have really miffed the Democrats for them and their out of state money to target her. I've seen plenty of ads by out of state money in this senate race, kinda reminds me of all the money spent trying to defeat Senator Helms, those were the good ole days....

  • homeimprovement Sep 22, 2008

    "So what you are saying is if Obama were white he could not win this election?"

    Obama is white.

  • homeimprovement Sep 22, 2008

    "Middle class tax payers will be asked to bailout millionaire banking investors."

    First off, who defines middle class. Secondly, we should never bailout people who make dumb choices. People don't use simple math anymore.

    Buyers went beyond their means to buy a house, lenders and sellers were banking on inflated prices. People need to pay for their own dumb mistakes from the buyer, seller and lenders all.

    If my parents bailed me out everytime I made a stupid mistake, I wouldn't learn from them.

    Big Mommy and Daddy (Federal Gov't) should never bail out people who cannot do simple math.

  • canes7 Sep 22, 2008

    Just what do you think Obama is going to do once he becomes president? There is no "Change" to be made. Government is government no matter hoe you look at it. There is no way to make it more exciting. The only excitment government can create is if it were to shrink. Politicians have been running on this "Change" platform forever, noone changes a thing. Just lines their own pockets, no matter what their affiliation is. So Obama teamed up with Biden, a 4x presidential hopeful loser. Between the 2 of them they have zero executive branch experience. The only person in this race that has executive experience is Palin, McCain has zero like the Dem ticket. Obama is a Post Turtle. When you see a tutle on top of a post what do you think? He didn't get there by himself, he doesn't belong there, doesn't know what to do while up there and what kind of idiot put him there in the first place?

    The only reason he is there is the overreacting PC crowd and white guilt.

  • Dr. Dataclerk Sep 22, 2008

    or empty promises like Hagan or Obama.

    Obama is not making empty promises. Listen to the man and learn.

  • Dr. Dataclerk Sep 22, 2008


    I hope you have learned something in the last few minutes. You need not comment. Your smartness will get you know where in life, dear. Remember God created all races. We all belong to him. I hope when the sun rises tomorrow and sets, the taste of racial sayings will not come out of your mouth. All black people would appreciate that. :) Be blessed and have a great evening.