Local Politics

Must Obama win in the South to take White House?

Posted August 28, 2008

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— Winning the South could mean winning the presidential election for Barack Obama. Obama's campaign has surprised people since it began 19 months ago. Among the startling moments, how well he did in Southern primaries.

The general election is expected to be different for Obama in the South. The major question dogging his campaign: Can he win the White House without winning a Southern state?

"No, I don't so. I think he has to find a Southern state that he can carry. Look, the numbers are the numbers, and he has got to have at least one Southern state," veteran CBS News correspondent Bob Schieffer said.

Obama is reaching out to Southern voters.  He has 16 campaign offices in North Carolina and dozens more throughout the South.

Schieffer said it is very clear that the South is pivotal for Obama. However, Democratic campaign strategist Joe Trippi hedges just a little on the issue.

"I think he can (win), but he also needs the South. Democrats have to compete across all 50 states, and he is committed to doing that. So, I think you are likely to see him campaigning across the South and trying to pick up one or two of those states," Trippi said.

If not North Carolina, Schieffer and Trippi believe a Virginia win could be within reach – maybe even Georgia.

Both stress that for Obama to win in the South, he has to put together a coalition of black voters, young voters and the working class. In addition, all must turn out in almost record numbers.

"Some of this could be chess strategy, but it may be a genuine shot at trying to take it," Trippi said.

"It is going to be a steep hill to climb. This is going to be a very, very close election. I think what happens between now and and Election Day is going to decide who wins. It is not yet decided," Schieffer said.

North Carolina hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

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  • Hasbeen Aug 28, 2008

    How do you know he has NO CLUE HOW TO LEAD THE MAJORITY OF OUR NATION? If you know the answer to this, can you please tell me who will win the Super Bowl this year. I could use the money.

    btw-there was a right wing conspiracy against billy boy. Despite him tying his own rope, it wasn't a left wing conspiracy, so, who does that leave? Ken Starr et al. Please do not reply, I swore to myself not to go back to the 90's again, but, folks make it hard not to

  • rc4nc Aug 28, 2008

    Don't black folks drive and pay taxes? Why would they vote against their own economic interest? Obama has pledged to place new taxes on the profits of "Big" oil. Government doesn't produce any oil or gas. Any oil or gas we have was produced for us by oil companies. We are paying higher prices today because of policies which negatively affect oil production. A windfall profits tax on oil companies will place additional negative forces against oil supplies. Yes, that's change for sure, but do we really want to go there?

  • goobnav Aug 28, 2008

    Yes, we need a change, whether its Big Oil or Big Lawyers or Big Hollywood or Big Mac. The American people need to take back this country from the fools they let get control of it. Both sides are wrongs the Dems are too liberal, the Reps are too conservative. No, everybody doesn't see the forest for the trees. If the American people would just tell the fools in politics they know what their masters are doing, even if you don't and, then the control would be taken back. Otherwise, you'll might as well give yourself into the nearest authority for internment.

  • Sincerity Aug 28, 2008

    How can the media have a liberal bias when it is corporate controlled? Wouldn't that mean that all corporations have a liberal agenda? I don't see it. Any corporations main agenda is to make money. Hardly a liberal or conservative only goal. And there is nothing from the left in the media that is anything like Fox News, Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, or any of the other right wing pundits. In fact all of the other news stations parrot Fox News anyway. I read articles in the papers all the time that are pro-conservative. And we are just not getting the full story from the media anyway.

  • NC Reader Aug 28, 2008

    "Having been thoroughly chastised by the intelligencia of the high minded GOLO Blogosphere I will refrain from commenting further until I feel I am able to raise my level of discourse required of the local news blog. In the mean time, I am going to see if I can go make some friends of all persuasions and opinions. However, regardless of the cutting nature of my comments, enlightening others is nice but not necessary. Some folks earn the right to be called ignorant"

    Uh, you do realize, don't you, that I was agreeing with your post?

  • COPs eye Aug 28, 2008

    It amazes me that so many people are saying that many white voters will not vote for him because he is black...WELL how many black voters are voting for him JUST becuase he is black? The election campaign coverage is biased as everything else inthe media. McCain is not getting no where near the coverage he should be receiving. No matter whom is elected there is going to be people claiming foul either because of race or age etc., Besides the Executive Branch of gov only can do what Legislative Branch allows it too. Then it is a matter of who is getting their pockets padded by which business. This election is not about race that is a cover, it is about money.

  • Hasbeen Aug 28, 2008

    Having been thoroughly chastised by the intelligencia of the high minded GOLO Blogosphere I will refrain from commenting further until I feel I am able to raise my level of discourse required of the local news blog. In the mean time, I am going to see if I can go make some friends of all persuasions and opinions. However, regardless of the cutting nature of my comments, enlightening others is nice but not necessary. Some folks earn the right to be called ignorant.

  • Eduardo1 Aug 28, 2008

    Lot of work if he hopes to win anything. Todays National poll average, when all 7 major poll sources are combined, thisis during the convention. job approval as follows: Obama 53% McCain 51.75% President Bush 30% and the biggest travesty CONGRESS 17.5%. So statistically plus or minus candidates are about even on job performance (even with the convention bounce)
    Bush numbers being as low as the because of his own failings but also because of the Congessinal blockade indicated by the 17.5 JOB APPROVAL rating. All of this is verifible on line

  • Jakethesnake Aug 28, 2008

    as soon as you say "oil war" you lose all credibility - regardless of your other points

    It is an oil war, I've met several marines/army people who said it was very obvious what they were there to do. What else could this war be about? WMD's? Terrorist? I don't think so, the Bush's have wanted a piece of Iraq and its Oil business for a long time.

  • wildervb Aug 28, 2008

    "The DNC and the ultra-libs needed a hook - they chose Obama. The most electable and exciting ticket for me was Clinton/Obama. 50% of the US population is women not to mention the contributions working women add to the tax base in this country. So much for the wisdom of the DNC and the ultra-libs who appear to control the DNC. Time will tell."

    Nonsense! Hillary had the backing of the party establishment from the beginning, she had a huge lead in super-delegates before the voting even began.

    Can't anyone give credit where credit is due? Obama ran a smart campaign. He raised record amounts of money, had a well organized campaign and a focused message. That's why he won the nomination.

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