Local Politics

WRAL News Poll: Obama Has Double Digit Lead in N.C.

Posted April 6, 2008
Updated April 7, 2008

— Democratic presidential contender Barack Obama has a commanding lead over Hillary Rodham Clinton in North Carolina, but he might face greater difficulties than she against likely Republican nominee John McCain in the general election.

In the latest WRAL News poll, 56 percent of likely Democratic voters said they would give Obama their support in the Democratic primary. Thirty-three percent chose Clinton, and 11 percent were unsure.

A WRAL News poll in early March showed Obama with a seven-point lead.

However, 57 percent thought Clinton would fare better against McCain, while less than a third gave Obama the same credit.

Fifty-six percent of Clinton supporters also said they would not vote for Obama in a head-to-head match with McCain. Clinton would likely draw the votes of 68 percent of those who chose Obama in the primary.

Obama got a favorable rating from 75 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, while Clinton received 66 percent. The change in those ratings from a month earlier were within the poll's margin of error.

In the past month, Obama grew his lead among blacks by 15 percent and shrank Clinton's 20-point lead among whites to 7 percent. Obama garnered the support of 86 percent of blacks, and Clinton had 47 percent of whites in the April 3 poll.

There did not appear to be a gender divide. Clinton and Obama drew support from men and women proportional to their share in the overall poll.

Seventy percent of likely Democratic voters said they thought it was very or somewhat likely the race would remain unsettled until the Democratic convention. Only 28 percent of voters thought Clinton should drop out.

Democratic Voters on the Issues

Survey participants said the economy and Iraq war were the primary issues motivating their election choices.

Fifty-two percent picked the economy as the most important issue, and 21 percent chose the Iraq war. Health care and government corruption were the next most-pressing issues, but they and all other concerns scored in  single digits.

Large majorities of both candidates' supporters said the economy was getting worse, but Clinton supporters seemed to be slightly more optimistic about the war on terror and the Iraq war.

Thirty-four percent of Clinton supporters thought the U.S. and its allies were winning the war on terror, compared with 20 percent of Obama supporters. Forty-five percent of likely Clinton voters rated the situation in Iraq as getting better or staying the same, while 28 percent of Obama's voters said it was the same.

Obama supporters were more likely to view American society in a negative light than Clinton supporters when asked if they thought it was fundamentally more fair and decent or unfair and discriminatory.

Fifty-one percent of Obama supporters picked the unfair and discriminatory statement, while 67 percent of Clinton supporters chose to answer fair and decent. Virtually even numbers from either camp were unsure.

Rasmussen Reports conducted the telephone survey of 704 likely Democratic primary voters on April 3. The poll has an 4 percent margin of error.


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  • whatusay Apr 8, 2008

    e94de....this war will never be won. You can not defeat an enemy that wants to die to spread their religious beliefs. The only way to win is destroy them "ALL", and we are too civilized to do that. John McCain is probably right, we will be there for 100 years or more.

  • oldschooltarheel Apr 7, 2008

    Carpetbaggers are never appreciated - except in New York. The Clintons are now reaping their bullying, lying. thieving, philandering dues. These folks actually had the temerity to think people loved & trusted them !!! Watch folks slip away, round the corner, over the fence - blink, more are gone from that camp (gotta slide away quiet-like or one could get "Vinced"). The Clintons just can't stop it - not matter how long their "enemies list" becomes. They just don't "get it". Ha... hahaha!

  • doodad Apr 7, 2008

    Obama will get smoked.

  • peanuts1108 Apr 7, 2008

    I believe Americans shud think very carefully before stating who they support. Obamas comment with Wright and the one he made on the way to the New Hampshire caucus is extremely racist.
    These remarks have completely turned me away from him. Obama has a golden tongue and unfortunately he seems to be able to talk his way into everyones minds. The way the media has portraited this niminatiob us disgraceful. If you canstill support a man who has spent 20 years listening to a pastor like Wright who god dammed America, whites and Jews, well I just don't know what to say except God help this country if he wins. Do you realize on his way to the New Hampshire caucus he stopped in a church and told the congregation to listen to your civic leaders, pastors and even gang leaders because when I become President I will have a meeting and there will be new rules for the black man. Has everyohe forgotten that? Along with Wrights comments I backed off of Obama. To me he has a hidden agenda.

  • One flew over Randy_s nest Apr 7, 2008

    Also, for the chronic Bush bashers that invade this site daily, when our brave soldiers win this war, and they will, will you give President Bush credit?"

    Since Bush can't even define what should be considered "winning", how can you be sure that we will win?
    How do you define "winning" in Iraq?

    Blind faith in a bad leader doesn't make you a patriot.

    "Doubtful even though we not been attacked since 9-11 and you will not even acknowledge that"

    No attacks on the U.S. since 9/11?
    U.S. embassies are considered U.S. territory, so the attacks on the embassy in Baghdad are attacks on the U.S.
    And since the military is fighting for the U.S., attacks on U.S. soldiers are also attacks on the U.S.
    But you don't think those attacks count?

  • now Apr 7, 2008

    For that matter, what are Slick Hillary's qualifications to be President other than she is a patholgical liar? Somebody please tell me and try your best for the reply to have some substance with this one also and not the typical Liberal gibberish and cliche's.

    Also, for the chronic Bush bashers that invade this site daily, when our brave soldiers win this war, and they will, will you give President Bush credit? Doubtful even though we not been attacked since 9-11 and you will not even acknowledge that.

  • Dr. Dataclerk Apr 7, 2008

    wildervb: he is what we need in a President".
    Amen Amen Amen

  • wildervb Apr 7, 2008

    Agreed dataclerk.

    The point is, Years of government experience is not a good indicator of who will be a good or bad president. Obama has already proven that he has excellent leadership qualities, he is what we need in a President.

  • Dr. Dataclerk Apr 7, 2008

    The answer actually is Abe Lincoln.

    Then Obama must be the next president. He is tall, honest likable friendly has integrity and wants the very best for the american people.

  • Dr. Dataclerk Apr 7, 2008

    patriotsrevenge: You have been here since the first hour of today and you gripe about me. Please leave the board, now. Thanks.