Local Politics

Poll: McCain Leads Democrats in N.C.

Posted March 24, 2008

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— If the presidential election were held this week, Sen. John McCain would easily carry North Carolina, according to a poll released Monday.

Rasmussen Reports surveyed 500 likely North Carolina voters last Thursday and found McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, holds commanding leads over the two Democratic candidates. The poll has a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

McCain leads Sen. Hillary Clinton 50 to 34 percent, and he leads Sen. Barack Obama 51 to 42 percent, according to the poll.

In both match-ups, McCain is essentially even with either Clinton or Obama among women, but holds a large lead among men. The poll also shows that he enjoys more support from Republicans than either Clinton or Obama receive from Democrats.

McCain is viewed favorably by 62 percent of North Carolina voters, compared with 48 percent for Obama and 38 percent for Clinton, according to to the poll.

Forty-eight percent of those surveyed said the economy was the top issue in the presidential election, with 43 percent rating the economy as poor and almost three in four saying the national economic situation is getting worse.

Meanwhile, 51 percent of respondents said the U.S. is winning the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, and two-fifths said the situation in Iraq would improve over the next six months.


Rasmussen also did comparision polling of the front-runners in the North Carolina gubernatorial race.

The poll found that Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, a Republican, has closed the gap when matched with the leading Democratic candidates – Lt. Gov. Beverly Perdue and State Treasurer Richard Moore.

McCrory trails Perdue 45 to 42 percent and trails Moore 42 to 40 percent. In a similar poll in late January, McCrory was behind Perdue by 4 points and Moore by 5 points.

The other GOP candidate that Rasmussen asked about, State Sen. Fred Smith, trails Perdue 51 to 33 percent and Moore 45 to 34 percent.

A gender gap exists between McCrory and the two Democrats. Perdue and Moore hold sizable leads over him with women, but he holds a similar commanding lead with men, the poll found.

Meanwhile, Moore leads the pack among independent voters, with a 3-point lead over McCrory. Perdue trails McCrory by 3 points among unaffiliated voters, according to the poll.

Rasmussen Reports used its own judgment on which candidates to include in the poll. This judgment was informed by conversations with people in the state of North Carolina and a review of available data. While other candidates are running for the office of governor, including former Supreme Court Justice Robert Orr and Salisbury attorney Bill Graham, Rasmussen did not ask about their chances in this poll.


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  • tab580642 Mar 25, 2008

    This poll proves that people constantly vote for what's NOT in their best interest. I guarantee the pollsters came up with these numbers by polling mostly rural white males. Unfortunately for the state this is the majority voter. I hate to say it, but if people are still considering voting for a Republican after Bush they need to have their heads examined!!! Especially when it appears that the person running plans to do almost nothing different than Bush has done for the last 8 years!!! The only thing McCain needs to when is an all expense paid trip to a Retirement Facility and a custom made rocking chair!!! This country needs new ideas and someone who can speak on issues without needing someone to keep correcting them on things that they should know as president.

  • tab580642 Mar 25, 2008

    State still stuck on stupid I guess because some want more of the same Bush policies carried on for 4 more years all because they simply hate the word "Democrat." John McCain knows nothing about economics, health care, foreign policy, education, etc. All he knows anything about is war & saying & doing whatever's convenient at the moment that will either make him appear to be knowledgable about an issue or what will move him closer to becoming president. The guy is a coward considering how he bends over to please the very people who made him look like a fool the last time he tried to get the nomination. He'll take support from the devil if it will get him into the White House. He moves around sometimes as if he's lost, confused & often as stiff as a Tinman in need of oil. He does not look very presidential at all & after his blunders last week one should question if his any smarter than Bush is. I'm convinced that NC Republicans will vote for an ape just as long as it's Republican!

  • whatusay Mar 24, 2008

    Worlan...McCain has conducted himself in a presidential manner because he has the Republican nomination...no competitors...all alone. The republican nomination process was short and he is the nominee..that still does not make him the best candidate. Lots of ignorant people in this country who helped put him on the ballot for president of the United States.

  • EyesintheSkies Mar 24, 2008

    What an election year choice: 2 communists or a democrat.

  • DBnNC Mar 24, 2008

    It's sad to hear that the "polls show" McCain leading the presidential race in North Carolina. Can this Country survive another four years of the same "BUSH" agenda. I think not. WAKE UP PEOPLE it's time for A CHANGE. We do not need the same status quo, not only in the White House but in congress as well!!!! Make your VOTE COUNT and do what's best for AMERICA, push for CHANGE!!!!

  • Worland Mar 24, 2008

    McCain is the only candidate who has conducted himself in a presidential manner.

  • doodad Mar 24, 2008

    Sumo Vita, just hide and watch. McCain and a Republican govennor will win in NC. Especially after Obama and Hillary cancel each other out with their battles.

  • Sumo Vita Mar 24, 2008

    For that 48% that apparently regard the economy to be of highest concern, I wonder what they think of McCain's claim that he knows "a lot less about economics than I do about military and foreign policy issues” See http://thinkprogress.org/2008/02/15/mccain-extensive-background-econ/

    And I wonder how far out into the boonies those Rasmussen pollsters had to go, to cobble together the "51% think we're winning in Iraq" line.

  • Six String Mar 24, 2008

    I can understand the frustration of those who don't think we have any choices for president. If that's your opinion, it's ok. But remember, when you don't vote, you lose your voice in the process and allow someone else to make the choice for you. If you don't vote, don't complain about the results.

  • whatusay Mar 24, 2008

    This country is in for a bumpy ride with candidates like this to choose from. John Edwards doesn't look all that bad now. I don't think any of the three is a good choice as they are all for illegal immigration and more welfare. That will keep this country in a recession/depression for many years to come with crime escalating year after year.