Local Politics

Conventions signal start of serious campaign crunch

Posted September 7, 2012
Updated September 8, 2012

— The delegates may have departed Charlotte, but the presidential campaign and its focus on North Carolina voters really gets heated up in September. 

Democratic consultant Scott Falmlen and Republican strategist Marc Rotterman don't agree on much, but they see a virtual tie in the Tar Heel state between President Barack Obama and Governor Mitt Romney.

"I think you're fighting over 4 or 5 percent at this point," Rotterman said. 

The political junkies who attend conventions are fired up, and the parties hope they can translate that energy into votes.

"The job of a convention these days is to rev up the base and to get people leaving the site very, very motivated," said Dr. Andy Taylor, political science professor at North Carolina State University.

Falmlen and Rotterman agree that, while both candidates want support in the swing state and the 15 electoral votes that would entail, Romney needs North Carolina more.

"It's a must-win state for Republicans, no question about it," Rotterman said. 

"There are multiple paths for Barack Obama to win without North Carolina, but I think he will," Falmlen said. Taylor agreed with that analysis. "I think they understand strategically that they can lose North Carolina and win," he said. Political Convention Battle for NC votes just beginning

Both sides are likely to keep an eye on the polls and the economic data in North Carolina as they decide how to spend their time and money leading up to November.

"North Carolina is obviously a battleground state, and I think both sides are going to be here," Falmlen said. 

As long as the race stays too close to call, North Carolina will remain in the political spotlight.

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  • cwood0817 Sep 11, 2012

    Some of the polls have created some interesting results. One poll, by CNN I think-surveyed 23% Republican and 38% DemocRAT!!
    Are we surprised by Obama with a 1-2% lead?? Hummmm!!

    We have been surveyed at home several times. One called yesterday-asked for my wife-when she was not available-he tried to survey me. When my answers were not to his liking of his slant-he said k...m.a.. and hung up. With this kind of polling, who knows what kind of numbers are really out there.

    DemocRATS will pay a BIG PRICE for their handling of God in the platform. Of course, the annointed one was totally innocent of any involvemnet-RIGHT-believe that don't you??? HUMMM????

    In 1980-Jimmy Carter had a lead until the 1st debate where RR made him to be an incompetent fool(which he was). I predict a similar reaction in the first debate-even with media spin in favor of Obama!! America will realize that Obama is incompetent and that all these side issues are just that-side issues.