Mid-week severe weather risk creeps back into Triangle

Posted April 4

— After a day of heavy rain on Monday, Tuesday will bring clear skies and warm temperatures, but that calm weather ends when another round of potentially severe weather blows through the Triangle during the middle of the week.

Gusty winds will be the only adverse conditions around Raleigh on Tuesday. Temperatures will climb and skies will remain dry.

"It's going to be a beautiful day today—(high temperatures) in the 80s," said WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner.

Wind gusts registered near 25 mph around Raleigh on Tuesday afternoon. The windy conditions will continue until around sunset when they'll quiet back down to single digits.

After Tuesday the weather gets more turbulent.

The risk for severe weather moves back into the region around the middle of the day on Wednesday and increases overnight. Gardner said that threat of wind damage, hail and an isolated tornado will last through Thursday.

"I certainly think that our chance of severe weather (Wednesday) night is fairly high," Gardner said.

The severe weather risk will abate over the weekend, but cold temperatures will take its place. Gardner said morning lows on Saturday and Sunday will drop down into the high 30s.

"(We're) not likely to have widespread frost, but we'll be close to it," Gardner said.


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  • Brody Clifton Apr 5, 12:30 a.m.
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    This is my own personal forecast and not official from the National Weather Service -- Major tornado outbreak east central/eastern North Carolina late afternoon Wednesday until late morning Thursday. Giant hail to 3 inches or greater in diameter, thunderstorm winds gusts to 100 miles per hour, and strong to violent tornadoes are possible with the most intense supercells. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. Every ingredient peaks with one model indicating 2400 CAPE, 400 0-1 and 0-3 storm relative helicity - the kind of numbers you would see in an afternoon plains outbreak, intense surface low pressure, low level let, and mid level jet nose spreading into from the west/southwest will create very favorable conditions for tornadic supercell thunderstoms, which may move though, wave after wave, all through the evening and overnight hours into the dawn hours. Expecting high risk for Alabama.Georgia, and western SC tomorrow and possibly moderate or high into central/eastern TN/KY.

  • Drew Savicki Apr 4, 3:09 p.m.
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    The NWS in raleigh put out a great briefing for those who want more up to date information.

  • Brody Clifton Apr 4, 9:25 a.m.
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    Based on 2am NAM/current model timing for NC: Plan ahead for overnight Wednesday into morning Thursday and tell everyone you know to do it. Mobile/manufactured home folks (like me) will need to make plans now for sturdy shelter if required. Keep eyes peeled on WRAL/doppler radar especially after midnight Wednesday into Thursday, according to current timing. We'll all know the timing by Wednesday night.