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mccain moves ahead in daily poll

Published Sep. 7, 2008

Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%McCain enjoying increase in support following convention

PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.

These results are based on Sept. 4-6 interviewing, and include two full days of polling after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention last Thursday night. McCain has outpolled Obama on both Friday and Saturday, and is receiving a convention bounce just as Obama did last week.

Tomorrow's report will be the first in which all interviews were conducted after the conclusion of the convention. Gallup measures convention bounces by comparing candidate support in the last poll done entirely before a party's presidential nominating convention begins with the first polling conducted entirely after its conclusion.

McCain's 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCain's largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama has led McCain for most of the campaign, and for nearly all of the time since clinching the Democratic nomination in early June. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Jeff Jones



11 Comments


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"McCain is actually ahead by 4% now(and that lead will continue to increase) so I would say things are going my way."

So McCain was up by 4% on July 28th and yesterday he was up by 3% Things are going your way, huh?

"Here's a "professional" website if you're really interested in political statistics.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/"

Too funny. Both electoral-vote.com and realclearpolitics collect polling data from different polling institutes and comes up with an average. Thank you for raising electoral-vote.com to "professional" and making it legitimate :-)

"And here's a story from that website:

Gallup/USA Today Poll: McCain +4"

Does it really matter what the country-wide polls say when the electoral votes are assigned by elections in each state? You do understand how the electoral college works, right?

I think the fact that someone posts a blog just about every day on poll results tells us one thing: that this race is far from in the bag for either candidate.

The poll cited in my previous post was dated July 28, 2008. My mistake.

Here's the current poll:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110050/Gallup-Daily-McCain-Moves-Ahead-48-45.aspx

McCain is up 3%.

e94de: "By yelling "the Democrats are desperate" every time something doesn't go your way, it is obvious that you're the desperate one."

Do you know anything about the author of that website? For all you know, I could have created that website.

"Quite a few people have said they like the site so much they would like to contribute to the cost of running it. Donations can be made by clicking on the PayPal icon below."

You didn't give this guy any money, did you? You know, a fool and his money are soon parted.

Here's a "professional" website if you're really interested in political statistics.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

And here's a story from that website:

Gallup/USA Today Poll: McCain +4

http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/07/gallupusa_today_poll_mccain_4.html

McCain is actually ahead by 4% now(and that lead will continue to increase) so I would say things are going my way.

"The desperation is becoming more and more evident. Is this obscure website really the source of your information? "

The web site collects the latest polling data for each state and assigns the electoral votes accordingly. I take it that you have problems with that methodology? Why? Do you have any other web site that gives better representation of the situation in each state?

By yelling "the Democrats are desperate" every time something doesn't go your way, it is obvious that you're the desperate one.

e94de: "Meanwhile, Obama's electorate vote lead has grown lately: http://www.electoral-vote.com/"

The desperation is becoming more and more evident. Is this obscure website really the source of your information?

"Who is that Votemaster guy, anyway?"

"The truth be known, the Votemaster is a mild-mannered U.S. citizen living abroad--along with another 7 million American citizens--more than the population of Virginia. If Americans Abroad were a "state" they would rank 13th in population. He is also known as Andrew S. Tanenbaum, a professor of computer science at the Vrije Universiteit. If you really want to know more, ask Google. It has about 100,000 links. He is also a decent photographer. Type "photos India" or "photos Namibia" (to name just a couple of countries) to Google and check out the top of the list and the number of links found."

"Hobbies: Photography and skewering corrupt and hypocritical politicians."

He accepts PayPal contributions.

McCain is winning!

lol@viol8r,,,but of course

wouldn't surprise me to see it at 48-48 come election day...wonder if there will be a "Bradley effect". Some people say there was, according to polling right before some of the dem. primaries...they say that could be as much as 5%...personally, I don't think so. Based on what we are seeing, many people in the dem party are NOT ashamed to say they are voting for McCain this time, because of experience...

Before the DNC convention, McCain was up by 2%. Now he's up by 3%. Big difference...

Meanwhile, Obama's electorate vote lead has grown lately: http://www.electoral-vote.com/

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