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elcid89: blog

elcid89's blog


harbingers and portents ...

Published May. 14, 2008

Yesterday, Democratic candidate Travis Childers beat a Republican in a special election to determine who would fill the Congressional seat from the Mississippi 1st.

Thus converting to Democratic contol a seat that had been reliably Republican since 1994. 14 years of Republican incumbency rejected.

 

Similarly, Democrat Don Cazayoux defeated a Republican in the same scenario for control of the Lousiana 6th, a seat that had been reliably Republican since the early 1970s. 36 years of Republican incumbency rejected.

 

And the piecé de resistance,  in March Democrat Bill Foster beat a Republican for control of the Illinois 14th, a seat that had been under continuous Republican control since its creation ... in 1961 ... 47 years of Republican incumbency rejected. 

 

One has to wonder what this portends for the Republicans in the coming Congressional elections, where they are defending twice as many seats as Democrats and have lost quite a few long time incumbents to the one that Dems have lost.

Not looking very good for them ... 



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"Moderates and centrists need to have their day in the sun again, in my view."

Amen

We're in the same no-mans land in the middle, Ob. One that I believe we're trying to reclaim from both sides of the aisle along the border.

I have another blog coming up a little later about the death of the Eisenhower Republican. You might find it interesting.

"But when conservative democrats and liberal republicans began switching parties after WWII to align along ideological lines, I fear it was the moderate middle that got disenfranchised. " Ken D.

I am a moderate republican (who some would argue is the same thing as a "liberal", then use the word as a swear word). I cannot embrace the Democratic party because, even though I am a social moderate, I am a fiscal conservative...that is what keeps me in the GOP, but still, with that said, I am concerned that the national deficit ballooned under GOP controlled Legislative and Executive branches...how can we be fiscally conservative and so irresponsible with the tax revenues...people howl about "Dems gonna raise taxes" but really, how has the previous 6 year GOP financial plan worked out for the USA so far?

Gotta go now... people to see, places to go...

"I'm not sure the middle is as wide as you think."

"Nor am I, but it's worth hoping for."

Amen to that. In my fantasies I envision centrist voters coming together to form a third party, based on pragmatic solutions to our problems. But then I wake up.

Of course, new political parties have formed in the past, so it's not totally impossible, no matter how improbable. Might be a topic for some future blog.

"McCain is already facing a Democratically controlled Congress. What's under consideration is to what degree they'll increase that majority in November." - elcid89

I think they -will- increase it, based on these indicators. The extra boost of a few more seats will make a difference. The positives I can see amongst the negatives are that at least we would stand a better chance in the balancing act with the senate to better influence the agenda going forward. Moderates and centrists need to have their day in the sun again, in my view.

Sorry for the "wing nut" reference. The blogs about "moonbats" inspired me to engage in a little childish name-calling myself. I'll try to control myself.

"And by the way, sorry you see evangelicals in such a bad light. " wcnc

Actually, if I might step in here...I am a Christian also. And I beleive that the political evangelist is the worst kind of evangelist. While I believe that I have the right to my religious beliefs, I am not compelled to take away from Ceasar, that which belongs to Caesar. Legislative power belongs to the government, it is when the "moral" majority push their agenda to the governemnt level then I am afraid that our evangelical brothers have crossed the line. The Bible tells me that God places rulers and powers into place and that we should obey the law insomuch as it does not contradict the Law of God, but too many religio-political leaders want the Law of God to be the Law of the Land...that is not a democracy, that is a theocracy. If you want that, move to Rome. The separation of Church and State is crucial to prevent usurption of power in "His" name and I prefer those guardrails (they keep us on the road).

"I'm not sure the middle is as wide as you think."

Nor am I, but it's worth hoping for.

"I can't accept a definition of the "far right fringe" as consisting only of fundamentalist Christians, however you define them. There are plenty of non-religious wing nuts out there who qualify as well."

It wasn't meant to be an exclusive definition. It was just pertinent to her particular complaint.

"And I don't just count "treehuggers and social engineers" as part of the extreme left. In my view, much of the Democratic party consists of people who feel in some way that historically they have been victimized or oppressed, and are looking to the government for redress. I consider the angriest or most militant of these to be part of the far left as well."

I'd agree. It was just prohibitive to attempt to classify both demographics in their entirety.

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