NC bucking national flu trend
Posted January 10, 2013
Updated January 11, 2013
NEW YORK — While hospitals from the Rocky Mountains to New England are swamped with people with flu symptoms, public health officials in North Carolina are reporting a decline in such activity.
Last week, 5.6 percent of the patients at physician offices, hospital emergency rooms and local health departments across North Carolina had flu-like illness, down from 9.1 percent the week before, according to state data released Thursday.
The region of the state that includes most of the Triangle still accounts for the greatest number of people reporting flu-like symptoms.
One North Carolina resident died of influenza last week, bringing the total of flu-related deaths in the state this season to 17. Most of the deaths occurred in early December, and most were people age 65 or older.
"This has been very severe – and we've heard about a lot of illness, including severe illnesses and deaths – so we certainly hope that we've reached the peak," said Dr. Zack Moore, an epidemiologist with the state Division of Public Health. "Even if you've reached the peak, there's a long way to go and a lot more weeks of a lot of flu going around."
Flu season in the U.S. has hit early and, in some places, hard. But whether this will be considered a bad season by the time it has run its course in the spring remains to be seen.
"Those of us with gray hair have seen worse," said Dr. William Schaffner, a flu expert at Vanderbilt University in Nashville.
The evidence so far is pointing to a moderate season, Schaffner and others believe. It just looks bad compared with last year, which was an unusually mild one.
Flu usually doesn't blanket the country until late January or February, but it is already widespread in more than 40 states, including North Carolina.
What's probably complicating the situation: The main influenza virus this year tends to make people sicker. And there are other bugs out there causing flu-like illnesses. So what people are calling the flu may, in fact, be something else.
"There may be more of an overlap than we normally see," said Dr. Joseph Bresee, who tracks the flu for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The flu's early arrival in the U.S. coincided with spikes in a variety of other viruses, including a childhood malady that mimics flu and a new norovirus that causes what some people call "stomach flu."
Most people don't undergo lab tests to confirm flu, and the symptoms are so similar that it's sometimes hard to distinguish flu from other viruses, or even a cold. Over the holidays, 250 people were sickened at a Mormon missionary training center in Utah, but the culprit turned out to be a norovirus, not the flu.
Flu is a major contributor, though, to what's going on.
"I'd say 75 percent," said Dr. Dan Surdam, head of the emergency department at Cheyenne Regional Medical Center, Wyoming's largest hospital. The 17-bed ER saw its busiest day ever last week, with 166 visitors.
The early onslaught has resulted in a spike in hospitalizations, prompting hospitals to take steps to deal with the influx and protect other patients from getting sick, including restricting visits from children, requiring family members to wear masks, and banning anyone with flu symptoms from maternity wards.
WakeMed, Duke University Health System hospitals and Cape Fear Valley Medical Center are among the North Carolina hospitals who now prohibit people younger from 18 from visiting patients.
One hospital in Allentown, Pa., this week set up a tent for a steady stream of patients with flu symptoms.
But so far, "what we're seeing is a typical flu season," said Terry Burger, director of infection control and prevention for the hospital, Lehigh Valley Hospital-Cedar Crest.
On Wednesday, Boston declared a public health emergency, and all the flu activity has caused some to question whether this year's flu shot is working.
There's a new flu vaccine each year, based on the best guess of what flu viruses will be strongest that year. This year's vaccine is well-matched to what's going around. The government estimates that between a third and a half of Americans have gotten the vaccine.
But the vaccine isn't foolproof, and even those who were vaccinated can still get sick. At best, the vaccine may be only 75 percent effective in younger people and even less so in the elderly and people with weak immune systems.
Health officials are analyzing the vaccine's effectiveness, but early indications are that about 60 percent of all vaccinated people have been protected from the flu. That's in line with how effective flu vaccines have been in other years.
More than 128 million doses of flu vaccine have been distributed nationwide, which is nearly 95 percent of the amount that manufacturers planned to make this year, officials said.
Several pharmacies in the Triangle said Thursday that they still have a good supply of vaccine.
"There’s no reason to suspect we won’t see flu for the next few weeks, if not months," said Dr. Chris Chao, with Rex Express urgent care in Raleigh. "If you haven’t gotten the flu shot, absolutely get it right now."
Rex Express has "at least a couple" of patients test positive for flu every day, Chao said.
"You’re really putting yourself at risk, you’re putting others at risk and you’re going to wait a long time (for treatment) at this point," he said.
In New York City, 57-year-old Judith Quinones suffered her worst case of flu-like illness in years, laid up for nearly a month with fever and body aches. "I just couldn't function," she said.
She decided to skip getting a flu shot last fall. But her daughter got the shot. "And she got sick twice," Quinones said.
On average, about 24,000 Americans die each flu season, according to the CDC.
Flu usually peaks in midwinter. Symptoms can include fever, cough, runny nose, head and body aches and fatigue. Some people also suffer vomiting and diarrhea, and some develop pneumonia or other severe complications.
Most people with flu have a mild illness and can help themselves and protect others by staying home and resting. But people with severe symptoms should see a doctor. They may be given antiviral drugs or other medications to ease symptoms.
The last bad flu season involved a swine flu that hit in two waves in the spring and fall of 2009. But that was considered a unique strain, different from the regular winter flu.